Match Info

Asian Cup - Qualification - Third round - Round 3

Date: 9 October 2025, Thursday

Location: Colombo Racecourse (Colombo)


	Sri Lanka		Turkmenistan

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.1	1.8	Watch
	4.15	3.35	1.88	Watch
	4.1	3.2	1.86
	4.37	3.24	1.86	Watch
	3.97	3.35	1.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↓ (4.79)	3.25 ↓ (3.4)	1.88 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sri Lanka
22.3%

Draw
28.5%

Turkmenistan
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.8%

26.6%

54.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sri Lanka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Turkmenistan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Turkmenistan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	0%	94.4%

Sri Lanka - Turkmenistan Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Turkmenistan will win (17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Turkmenistan will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sujan Perera W. (C) Fortis 2. Rajendram A. Strindheim 23. Thayaparan J. Eintracht Trier 15. Kammerknecht C. Dresden 3. Addis Z. Hume City 4. Perera G. ATSV Erlangen 6. Kelly G. 12. Perera L. 21. Rajamohan A. Haninge 7. Dekker W. Dandenong Thunder 13. Razeek A. Eastern District	22. Caryyev R. (G) Arkadag 5. Byashimov A. (C) Arkadag 2. Annagulyyev G. Arkadag 3. Toyjanow Y. Altyn Asyr 20. Sapargulyyev A. Arkadag 21. Caryyew T. 17. Beknazarow M. Arkadag 12. Mammedov Y. Arkadag 15. Hydyrow S. Arkadag 9. Gurbanow Y. Arkadag 13. Titov M. Ozgon
Substitutes
11. De Silva D. Sutton 10. Durrant S. Karvan 8. Faizer A. 22. Fernando K. (G) Victory 5. Hasmeer M. Sea Hawks 9. Kelaart O. Hume City 19. Munsif M. 16. Mursith M. (G) Blue Star 17. Senthurvasan N. Drobak-Frogn 18. Suresh B. 14. Suresh R. 20. Thomason W.	1. Ahallyyew R. (G) Arkadag 7. Annadurdyyew A. Arkadag 23. Ballakow W. Arkadag 16. Berdiyev K. (G) Ahal 6. Berenov M. Ahal 11. Durdyyew D. Arkadag 19. Myratberdiyev R. Altyn Asyr 8. Rejebov B. Arkadag 18. Saparmammedow Y. Arkadag 4. Saparow M. Arkadag 10. Tagayev E. Ahal

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Perera G. ↓, De Silva D. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Dekker W. ↓, Durrant S. ↑,
63', Rajendram A. 🟨,
64', Titov M. ↓, Tagayev E. ↑,
64', Gurbanow Y. ↓, Ballakow W. ↑,
66', Razeek A. ↓, Kelaart O. ↑,
67', 1 - 0, Perera L. ⚽, Rajamohan A. (A),
76', Hydyrow S. ↓, Annadurdyyew A. ↑,
78', Sapargulyyev A. 🟨,
86', Caryyew T. ↓, Durdyyew D. ↑,
86', Sapargulyyev A. ↓, Myratberdiyev R. ↑,
88', Rajamohan A. ↓, Senthurvasan N. ↑,

Preview

Turkmenistan will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sri Lanka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sri Lanka
Friendly
09.09.25	Sri Lanka - Maldives	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Sri Lanka - Maldives	0:3 ✺
Asian Cup
10.06.25	Sri Lanka - Chinese Taipei	3:1 ✺
25.03.25	Thailand - Sri Lanka	1:0 ✺
Friendly
20.03.25	Laos - Sri Lanka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TLWLW
- Turkmenistan
CAFA Nations Cup
05.09.25	Turkmenistan - Oman	1:2 ✺
02.09.25	Turkmenistan - Uzbekistan	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Kyrgyzstan - Turkmenistan	1:1 ✺
Asian Cup
10.06.25	Turkmenistan - Thailand	3:1 ✺
25.03.25	Chinese Taipei - Turkmenistan	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

FIFA World Cup
19.11.19	Turkmenistan - Sri Lanka	2:0
05.09.19	Sri Lanka - Turkmenistan	0:2

Sri Lanka - Turkmenistan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide