Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 9

Date: 4 April 2025, Friday


	St George Saints		Central Coast Mariners U23

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.8	3.75	3.6
	1.64	4.1	4.1	Watch
	1.67	4.54	4.07	Watch
	2	3.75	3
	1.67	4.7	3.87	Watch
	1.64	4.1	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.55)	4.16 ↓ (4.75)	3.79 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St George Saints
53.3%

Draw
22.3%

Central Coast Mariners U23
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.5%

19.1%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.5%

18.2%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St George Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St George Saints's form might have worsened.

Central Coast Mariners U23 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St George Saints than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St George Saints, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Coast Mariners U23 than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

St George Saints - Central Coast Mariners U23 Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. St George Saints (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Antoniou B. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 0, Casella J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 7 and 15 in the zone NPL NSW (Relegation)).

St George Saints is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Central Coast U23 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Central Coast U23 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Central Coast U23 have a series of guest games.

St George Saints will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches St George Saints won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 2.5:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams St George Saints won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St George Saints
Australian NPL NSW
29.03.25	St. George City - St George Saints	1:2 ✺
21.03.25	St George Saints - Wollongong Wolves	2:1 ✺
15.03.25	APIA Leichhardt Tigers - St George Saints	3:3 ✺
07.03.25	St George Saints - Sutherland Sharks	3:0 ✺
01.03.25	Marconi Stallions - St George Saints	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 31.6 WWTWT
- Central Coast Mariners U23
Australian NPL NSW
23.03.25	Sutherland Sharks - Central Coast Mariners U23	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Central Coast Mariners U23	1:1 ✺
09.03.25	Sydney United - Central Coast Mariners U23	0:3 ✺
01.03.25	Wollongong Wolves - Central Coast Mariners U23	2:2 ✺
23.02.25	Central Coast Mariners U23 - Blacktown City	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
17.08.24	St George Saints - Central Coast Mariners U23	2:0
29.05.24	Central Coast Mariners U23 - St George Saints	3:3

St George Saints - Central Coast Mariners U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide