Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 22

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday


	St. George City		Mt Druitt Town Rangers

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.44	4.4	5.75
	1.52	4.05	4.75	Watch
	1.56	4.34	5.08
				Watch
	1.44	4.2	5.5
	1.55	4.15	4.7	Watch
	1.5	4.15	4.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.37)	4.22 ↓ (4.75)	5.12 ↓ (6.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. George City
60.6%

Draw
21.6%

Mt Druitt Town Rangers
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

19.1%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.8%

18.4%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. George City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. George City's form might have worsened.

Mt Druitt Town Rangers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. George City than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. George City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mt Druitt Town Rangers than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

St. George City - Mt Druitt Town Rangers Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. St. George City will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', 1 - 0, McNulty M. ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 1, Lopez T. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ NSW League One).

In recent matches, St. George City has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mt Druitt Rangers is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

St. George City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, St. George City is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, St. George City won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:0. (average 3.3:0).

Including home match between the teams, St. George City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. George City FA
Australian NPL NSW
27.06.25	Manly United - St. George City	0:2 ✺
22.06.25	Blacktown City - St. George City	3:1 ✺
14.06.25	St. George City - North West Sydney Spirit	3:2 ✺
06.06.25	Sydney FC U23 - St. George City	3:1 ✺
31.05.25	St. George City - Wollongong Wolves	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WLWLT
- Mt Druitt Town Rangers
Australian NPL NSW
29.06.25	Central Coast Mariners U23 - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	2:0 ✺
21.06.25	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - Manly United	1:0 ✺
15.06.25	Rockdale Ilinden - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	4:0 ✺
07.06.25	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - St George Saints	0:2 ✺
01.06.25	Marconi Stallions - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL NSW
22.03.25	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - St. George City	0:1
29.07.23	St. George City - Mt Druitt Town Rangers	6:0
15.04.23	Mt Druitt Town Rangers - St. George City	0:3

St. George City - Mt Druitt Town Rangers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide