Match Info

NPL NSW - Round 6

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Penshurst Park (Sydney)


	St. George City		SD Raiders

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.5	3.45
	2.04	3.85	3.3
	1.85	4.02	3.58	Watch
	1.85	3.5	3.4
	1.91	3.75	3.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.94)	3.72 ↑ (3.64)	3.47 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. George City
48.6%

Draw
24.8%

SD Raiders
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

25.3%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

21.7%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. George City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

SD Raiders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. George City than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. George City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Raiders than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SD Raiders could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

St. George City - SD Raiders Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
33', 0 - 1, ⚽,
36', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
50', 1 - 2, ⚽,
62', 2 - 2, ⚽,
69', 3 - 2, ⚽,
70', 3 - 3, ⚽,
81', 4 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ NSW League One).

In recent matches, St. George City has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Raiders has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, St. George City is seen as the favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. George City FA
Australian NPL NSW
07.03.26	North West Sydney Spirit - St. George City	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	St. George City - Western Sydney Wanderers Youth	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Sydney Olympic - St. George City	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	St. George City - St George Saints	0:0 ✺
06.02.26	Manly United - St. George City	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWTTL
- SD Raiders
Australian NPL NSW
07.03.26	SD Raiders - Sydney United	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	SD Raiders - Rockdale Ilinden	1:2 ✺
21.02.26	University of New South Wales - SD Raiders	1:1 ✺
14.02.26	SD Raiders - Sydney Olympic	1:5 ✺
06.02.26	Sydney FC U23 - SD Raiders	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL

St. George City - SD Raiders: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide