Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA NORTH - ROUND 6

Date: 3 September 2023, Sunday


	St. Pauli II		Kilia Kiel

	1	X	2
	1.32	5	6.7
	1.39	5.11	6.75
	1.33	5.25	7.4
	1.3	5.5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.59)	5.22 ↑ (4)	7.09 ↑ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Pauli II
69.2%

Draw
17.7%

Kilia Kiel
13%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

22.8%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5%

22%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pauli II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St. Pauli II's performance.

Kilia Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kilia Kiel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli II than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. Pauli II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kilia Kiel than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kilia Kiel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

St. Pauli II - Kilia Kiel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 12).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Kilia Kiel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match St. Pauli II is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Pauli II
German Regionalliga North
27.08.23	Phönix Lübeck - St. Pauli II	2:1 ✺
20.08.23	St. Pauli II - Blau-Weiß Lohne	0:1 ✺
13.08.23	Spelle-Venhaus - St. Pauli II	1:6 ✺
06.08.23	Eimsbütteler - St. Pauli II	1:4 ✺
30.07.23	St. Pauli II - Jeddeloh	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWWT
- FC Kilia Kiel
German Regionalliga North
26.08.23	Kilia Kiel - Eimsbütteler	2:1 ✺
19.08.23	Jeddeloh - Kilia Kiel	1:1 ✺
11.08.23	Kilia Kiel - Hannover II	3:5 ✺
06.08.23	Oldenburg - Kilia Kiel	4:0 ✺
30.07.23	Bremer SV - Kilia Kiel	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTLLT

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