Match Info

GERMANY: JUNIOREN BUNDESLIGA PLAY OFFS - LOSERS STAGE - ROUND 4

Date: 20 May 2023, Saturday


	St. Pauli U19		1860 München U19

	1	X	2
	1.71	4	3.5
	1.75	4.1	3.1
	1.75	4.05	3.41
	1.73	3.7	3.6
	1.75	4.15	3.65
	1.72	4.3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.77)	4.05 ↓ (4.32)	3.42 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Pauli U19
51.7%

Draw
22.1%

1860 München U19
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

20.9%

27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

17.5%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pauli U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

1860 München U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli U19 than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. Pauli U19 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 1860 München U19 than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that 1860 München U19 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

St. Pauli U19 - 1860 München U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Recent matches St. Pauli U19 is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

1860 München U19 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

1860 München U19 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

St. Pauli U19 will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Pauli U19
German Junioren Bundesliga Play Offs
17.05.23	Karlsruher U19 - St. Pauli U19	2:0 ✺
07.05.23	St. Pauli U19 - Freiburg U19	0:0 ✺
15.04.23	Hamburger SV U19 - St. Pauli U19	1:1 ✺
01.04.23	St. Pauli U19 - Holstein Kiel U19	2:1 ✺
26.03.23	Werder Bremen U19 - St. Pauli U19	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LTTWL
- 1860 München U19
German Junioren Bundesliga Play Offs
13.05.23	1860 München U19 - Karlsruher U19	1:1 ✺
10.05.23	Freiburg U19 - 1860 München U19	6:1 ✺
07.05.23	1860 München U19 - Hannover U19	0:3 ✺
15.04.23	1860 München U19 - Nurnberg U19	1:3 ✺
01.04.23	Ingolstadt U19 - 1860 München U19	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLLT

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