Match Info

GERMANY: DFB Youth League - Preliminary - Round 6

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday


	St. Pauli U19		Magdeburg U19

	1	X	2
	1.83	4.5	2.9
	1.85	4.15	3.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.85)	4.33 ↓ (4.5)	3.04 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Pauli U19
49.2%

Draw
20.9%

Magdeburg U19
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.1%

20.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

17.5%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pauli U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Magdeburg U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli U19 than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. Pauli U19 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Magdeburg U19 than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Magdeburg U19 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

St. Pauli U19 - Magdeburg U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
51', 1 - 0, ⚽,
64', 1 - 1, ⚽,
76', 2 - 1, ⚽,
88', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Pauli U19
German DFB Youth League
04.09.24	St. Pauli U19 - Hamburger SV U19	2:4 ✺
01.09.24	St. Pauli U19 - Holstein Kiel U19	3:2 ✺
25.08.24	Berliner AK 07 U19 - St. Pauli U19	2:2 ✺
18.08.24	St. Pauli U19 - Union Berlin U19	1:1 ✺
10.08.24	Hansa Rostock U19 - St. Pauli U19	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWTTL
- Magdeburg U19
German DFB Youth League
25.08.24	Union Berlin U19 - Magdeburg U19	3:1 ✺
18.08.24	Magdeburg U19 - Holstein Kiel U19	9:0 ✺
14.08.24	Wolfsburg U19 - Magdeburg U19	2:0 ✺
09.08.24	Magdeburg U19 - Hamburger SV U19	2:4 ✺
04.08.24	Berliner AK 07 U19 - Magdeburg U19	5:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Junioren Bundesliga North
03.09.22	Magdeburg U19 - St. Pauli U19	6:2
12.02.22	St. Pauli U19 - Magdeburg U19	2:1
24.10.20	Magdeburg U19 - St. Pauli U19	1:1
15.02.20	St. Pauli U19 - Magdeburg U19	4:3
25.08.19	Magdeburg U19 - St. Pauli U19	2:4
02.03.19	St. Pauli U19 - Magdeburg U19	3:0

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