Match Info

GERMANY: JUNIOREN BUNDESLIGA NORTH - ROUND 14

Date: 9 December 2023, Saturday


	St. Pauli U19		RB Leipzig U19

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.9	1.7
	3.72	4.26	1.75
	3.73	4.35	1.7
	3.25	3.9	1.73
	3.76	4.15	1.68
	3.4	3.95	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↑ (1.9)	4.09 ↑ (3.84)	1.73 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Pauli U19
25.3%

Draw
22.2%

RB Leipzig U19
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

23.6%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

22.7%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pauli U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. Pauli U19's form might have worsened.

RB Leipzig U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting RB Leipzig U19's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli U19 than the current prediction. (+24.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Pauli U19, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RB Leipzig U19 than the current prediction. (-24.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for RB Leipzig U19, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

St. Pauli U19 - RB Leipzig U19 Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. RB Leipzig U19 will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Leipzig U19: 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 8 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches St. Pauli U19 won 0.

Two teams are playing changeable.

RB Leipzig U19 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

St. Pauli U19 will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches St. Pauli U19 won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12-24.

Including matches at home between the teams St. Pauli U19 won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Pauli U19
German Junioren Bundesliga North
25.11.23	Wolfsburg U19 - St. Pauli U19	2:2 ✺
18.11.23	St. Pauli U19 - Carl Zeiss Jena U19	2:0 ✺
04.11.23	Werder Bremen U19 - St. Pauli U19	2:1 ✺
29.10.23	Union Berlin U19 - St. Pauli U19	3:1 ✺
15.10.23	St. Pauli U19 - Meppen U19	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TWLLW
- RB Leipzig U19
UEFA Youth League
28.11.23	Manchester City U19 - RB Leipzig U19	2:1 ✺
German Junioren Bundesliga North
25.11.23	RB Leipzig U19 - Meppen U19	2:2 ✺
11.11.23	Hertha U19 - RB Leipzig U19	2:1 ✺
UEFA Youth League
07.11.23	Crvena Zvezda U19 - RB Leipzig U19	0:1 ✺
German Junioren Bundesliga North
04.11.23	RB Leipzig U19 - Hansa Rostock U19	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Junioren Bundesliga North
12.08.23	RB Leipzig U19 - St. Pauli U19	3:1
04.03.23	St. Pauli U19 - RB Leipzig U19	0:0
21.08.21	RB Leipzig U19 - St. Pauli U19	2:2
23.11.19	RB Leipzig U19 - St. Pauli U19	4:1
German DFB Junioren Pokal
15.12.18	St. Pauli U19 - RB Leipzig U19	0:2
German Junioren Bundesliga North
08.12.18	RB Leipzig U19 - St. Pauli U19	0:1
10.08.18	St. Pauli U19 - RB Leipzig U19	4:2

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