Match Info

GERMANY: Junioren Bundesliga North - Round 23

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday


	St. Pauli U19		Werder Bremen U19

	1	X	2
	1.82	4.09	3.48
	1.83	4.1	3.48
	2.1	3.9	2.5
	1.81	4.11	3.49
	1.89	4.1	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.12)	4.06 ↑ (3.75)	3.21 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Pauli U19
48.7%

Draw
22.7%

Werder Bremen U19
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

24.2%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

23.7%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pauli U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St. Pauli U19's performance.

Werder Bremen U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Pauli U19 than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Werder Bremen U19 than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

St. Pauli U19 - Werder Bremen U19 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
32', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
58', 1 - 2, ⚽,
76', 2 - 2, ⚽,
84', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches St. Pauli U19 won 0.

St. Pauli U19 is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Werder U19 is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 11 head-to-head matches St. Pauli U19 won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11-24.

Including matches at home between the teams St. Pauli U19 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Pauli U19
German Junioren Bundesliga North
13.04.24	St. Pauli U19 - Union Berlin U19	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Meppen U19 - St. Pauli U19	1:3 ✺
09.03.24	St. Pauli U19 - Eintracht Braunschweig U19	2:2 ✺
02.03.24	Dynamo Dresden U19 - St. Pauli U19	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	St. Pauli U19 - Hertha U19	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWTLL
- Werder Bremen U19
German Junioren Bundesliga North
13.04.24	Werder Bremen U19 - Meppen U19	4:2 ✺
07.04.24	Union Berlin U19 - Werder Bremen U19	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	Werder Bremen U19 - Hertha U19	2:2 ✺
03.03.24	Hansa Rostock U19 - Werder Bremen U19	3:3 ✺
24.02.24	Werder Bremen U19 - Hannover U19	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

German Junioren Bundesliga North
04.11.23	Werder Bremen U19 - St. Pauli U19	2:1
German Junioren Bundesliga Play Offs
26.03.23	Werder Bremen U19 - St. Pauli U19	3:2
German Junioren Bundesliga North
19.11.22	Werder Bremen U19 - St. Pauli U19	2:2
30.10.21	St. Pauli U19 - Werder Bremen U19	0:1
08.02.20	Werder Bremen U19 - St. Pauli U19	3:0
21.08.19	St. Pauli U19 - Werder Bremen U19	0:5
25.08.18	Werder Bremen U19 - St. Pauli U19	1:2

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