Match Info

Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 20

Date: 21 September 2026, Monday


	Staal Jørpeland		Viking 2

	1	X	2
	2.60	3.80	2.10
	2.38	3.80	2.28
	2.64	3.95	2.08
	3.61	4.63	1.68	Watch
	2.60	3.90	2.05
	2.51	3.94	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↓ (5.33)	4 ↓ (5)	2.05 ↑ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Staal Jørpeland
33.3%

Draw
22.6%

Viking 2
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.3%

18.4%

64.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.6%

17.7%

66.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Staal Jørpeland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Staal Jørpeland's performance.

Viking 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Viking 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Staal Jørpeland than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Staal Jørpeland that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viking 2 than the current prediction. (+22.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Viking 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Staal Jørpeland - Viking 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (2 - 1)

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 10th and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Staal Jørpeland won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Viking 2 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Viking 2 holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Staal Jørpeland has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:27 (averaging 1.4:3.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Staal Jørpeland against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 6:17 goals (averaging 1.5:4.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Viking 2	22	9	5	8	52:33	19	32
10	Staal Jorpeland	22	7	5	10	45:54	-9	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Staal Jørpeland
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
12.09.26	Brodd - Staal Jørpeland	1:3 ✺
05.09.26	Staal Jørpeland - Mandalskameratene	0:2 ✺
30.08.26	Stabæk 2 - Staal Jørpeland	2:1 ✺
08.08.26	Odd 2 - Staal Jørpeland	1:2 ✺
01.08.26	Staal Jørpeland - Akra IL	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 WLLWL
- Viking 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
14.09.26	Viking 2 - Varhaug	4:0 ✺
06.09.26	Viking 2 - Stabæk 2	3:1 ✺
30.08.26	Brodd - Viking 2	3:1 ✺
17.08.26	Viking 2 - Madla	1:1 ✺
10.08.26	Haugesund 2 - Viking 2	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
21.06.26	Viking 2 - Staal Jørpeland	5:2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
01.09.25	Viking 2 - Staal Jørpeland	1:0
02.06.25	Staal Jørpeland - Viking 2	1:4
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
05.10.23	Staal Jørpeland - Viking 2	0:5
01.05.23	Viking 2 - Staal Jørpeland	2:2
30.08.21	Staal Jørpeland - Viking 2	3:3
19.08.19	Viking 2 - Staal Jørpeland	2:1

Staal Jørpeland - Viking 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide