Match Info

Division 3 - Group 5 - Round 17

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday


	Staal Jørpeland		Våg

	1	X	2
	2.37	3.75	2.3
	2.42	4.15	2.22
	2.41	4.01	2.25
	2.39	4.05	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.39)	3.99 ↑ (3.79)	2.26 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 10.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Staal Jørpeland
37.5%

Draw
22.6%

Våg
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

23.9%

38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

23%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Staal Jørpeland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Våg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Staal Jørpeland than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Våg than the current prediction. (-3%)

Staal Jørpeland - Våg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Eie D. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Eriksen F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', 1 - 2, Radgowski M. ⚽,
75', 1 - 3, Eriksen F. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Staal Jørpeland is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Våg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Staal Jørpeland won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Staal Jørpeland
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
16.08.25	Djerv 1919 - Staal Jørpeland	4:2 ✺
09.08.25	Staal Jørpeland - Brodd	1:2 ✺
02.08.25	Madla - Staal Jørpeland	3:2 ✺
26.07.25	Staal Jørpeland - Stord Sunnhordland	5:7 ✺
19.07.25	Vidar - Staal Jørpeland	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Våg FK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
18.08.25	Våg - Viking 2	1:2 ✺
09.08.25	Våg - Madla	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Stord Sunnhordland - Våg	4:3 ✺
26.07.25	Våg - Brodd	3:0 ✺
19.07.25	Vindbjart - Våg	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
24.05.25	Våg - Staal Jørpeland	3:0

Staal Jørpeland - Våg: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide