Match Info

Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 21

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Stabæk 2		Flekkerøy

	1	X	2
	2.15	4.00	2.45
	2.15	3.85	2.52
	2.16	4.16	2.45
	2.35	4.41	2.3	Watch
	2.13	4.10	2.40
	2.15	4.05	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.21)	4.1 ↑ (4.04)	2.43 ↓ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stabæk 2
41.1%

Draw
21.9%

Flekkerøy
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

22.8%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

22.2%

34.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stabæk 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Flekkerøy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stabæk 2 than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Flekkerøy than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Stabæk 2 - Flekkerøy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Knutsen T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
90+3', 0 - 2, Ibishi D. ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 2, Velten-Simonsen S. ⚽,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 8th and 5th).

In recent outings, Stabæk 2 has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Flekkerøy has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Flekkerøy could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Stabæk 2 has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:6.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Flekkeroy	22	12	3	7	45:36	9	39
7	Stabaek 2	22	9	3	10	47:49	-2	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stabæk 2 Fotball
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
21.09.26	Odd 2 - Stabæk 2	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Stabæk 2 - Vindbjart	3:1 ✺
06.09.26	Viking 2 - Stabæk 2	3:1 ✺
30.08.26	Stabæk 2 - Staal Jørpeland	2:1 ✺
17.08.26	Varhaug - Stabæk 2	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 TWLWL
- Flekkerøy
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
19.09.26	Flekkerøy - Varhaug	1:1 ✺
12.09.26	Mandalskameratene - Flekkerøy	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Flekkerøy - Madla	0:2 ✺
30.08.26	Akra IL - Flekkerøy	1:4 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
22.08.26	Vindbjart - Flekkerøy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
11.05.26	Flekkerøy - Stabæk 2	6:0

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