Match Info

Toppserien Women - Round 19

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Nadderud Stadion (Bekkestua) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Jensen S. M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Norway	13:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay


	Stabæk		Hønefoss

	1	X	2
	1.70	3.60	4.00
	1.55	3.85	4.60
	1.76	3.77	4.11
	1.7	3.95	4.08	Watch
	1.74	3.70	4.05
	1.74	3.98	4.08
	1.70	3.70	4.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.55)	3.79 ↓ (3.85)	4.15 ↓ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stabæk
53.8%

Draw
24.1%

Hønefoss
22.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.5%

23.1%

19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

22.6%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stabæk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Hønefoss has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hønefoss than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Stabæk - Hønefoss Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ronning E. (G) 16. Kraft K. 4. Flo M. 2. Bolviken E. (C) 21. Pallesen-Nygard S. 6. Halvorsen C. 8. Noss N. 7. Berg-Solemdal M. 9. Ron G. 18. Malmin A. 23. Gumaer K.	1. Ervik S. (G) 15. Rovelstad M. 23. Hansen L. 13. Pedersen M. S. 33. Lang F. 11. Hamborg S. K. 7. Ruud E. (C) 10. Stalesen O. 8. Bjerksaeter S. 21. Nyhagen S. 14. Dunsby M.
Substitutes
91. Ayhan M. 20. Castberg A. 3. de Lange H. 28. Grindhaug A. 10. Jeong Da-Bin 1. Leonards M. (G) 77. Tapaeva E. 24. Thorleifsson R.	19. Anderdal A. 17. Haug C. 5. Johannsdottir M. 20. Larsen C. 25. Lipsey A. 28. Obstfelder Svang H. 12. Osteras J. (G) 22. Roed E. 16. Tandberg A.
Coaches
Torjussen L.	Natvik R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Hamborg S. K. ⚽, Dunsby M. (A),
45', Ron G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Noss N. 🟨,
64', Stalesen O. ↓, Anderdal A. ↑,
64', Bjerksaeter S. ↓, Larsen C. ↑,
66', Noss N. ↓, Grindhaug A. ↑,
68', Noss N. 🟨,
78', Kraft K. ↓, de Lange H. ↑,
86', Nyhagen S. ↓, Lipsey A. ↑,
90', Halvorsen C. ↓, Jeong Da-Bin ↑,
90+3', Pallesen-Nygard S. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 6th and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stabæk won 5.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Stabæk carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Stabæk has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:6 (averaging 2.5:0.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Stabæk against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 20:5 goals (averaging 2.9:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Stabaek W	20	8	3	9	37:23	14	27
8	Honefoss W	20	5	4	11	17:32	-15	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stabæk Fotball Kvinner
Norwegian Toppserien Women
04.10.26	Molde - Stabæk	0:3 ✺
26.09.26	Stabæk - Brann	0:1 ✺
17.09.26	Rosenborg - Stabæk	4:2 ✺
13.09.26	Stabæk - LSK Kvinner	5:1 ✺
22.08.26	Stabæk - Bodø Glimt	7:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLWW
- Hønefoss BK Women
Norwegian Toppserien Women
04.10.26	Hønefoss - Bodø Glimt	3:0 ✺
26.09.26	Lyn - Hønefoss	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Hønefoss - Røa	0:0 ✺
13.09.26	Molde - Hønefoss	0:1 ✺
31.08.26	Hønefoss - Fortuna Ålesund	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Toppserien Women
29.05.26	Hønefoss - Stabæk	1:2
Club Friendly Women
14.03.26	Stabæk - Hønefoss	2:1
Norwegian Toppserien Women
20.09.25	Hønefoss - Stabæk	0:2
23.08.25	Stabæk - Hønefoss	1:0
23.03.25	Hønefoss - Stabæk	0:1
Club Friendly Women
31.01.25	Stabæk - Hønefoss	4:2
Norwegian Cup Women
26.06.24	Stabæk - Hønefoss	2:1

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