Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 4 - Round 7

Date: 21 May 2024, Tuesday


	Stabæk 2		Lillestrøm 2

	1	X	2
	3.9	5	1.52
	2.6	4.32	1.8
	2.58	4.32	1.81
	1.83	4.2	2.88
	1.9	4.7	2.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (1.51)	4.51 ↑ (4.33)	2.16 ↓ (4.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stabæk 2
36.3%

Draw
20.6%

Lillestrøm 2
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.8%

20.9%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

19.9%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stabæk 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stabæk 2's form might have worsened.

Lillestrøm 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lillestrøm 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stabæk 2 than the current prediction. (+26.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stabæk 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lillestrøm 2 than the current prediction. (-24.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lillestrøm 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	8.3%	54.2%

Stabæk 2 - Lillestrøm 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Stabæk 2 will win (votes: 9 - 37.5%). Lillestrøm 2 will win (votes: 13 - 54.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lillestrøm 2: 34.3% – 74.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Oppedal O. ⚽,
45+4', 2 - 0, Osman S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
50', 2 - 1, Foss S. ⚽,
55', 3 - 1, ⚽,
68', 3 - 2, Foss S. ⚽,
78', 3 - 3, Seferi U. ⚽,
82', 3 - 4, Furaha E. S. ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Stabæk 2 is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Lillestrøm 2 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Stabæk 2 is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Stabæk 2 to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Stabæk 2 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Stabæk 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stabæk 2 Fotball
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
12.05.24	Orkla FK - Stabæk 2	0:2 ✺
05.05.24	Stabæk 2 - Rana	4:2 ✺
21.04.24	Melhus - Stabæk 2	1:3 ✺
15.04.24	Stabæk 2 - Rosenborg II	4:1 ✺
07.04.24	Nardo - Stabæk 2	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWWWL
- Lillestrøm SK 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
11.05.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Tiller	4:1 ✺
04.05.24	Nardo - Lillestrøm 2	5:4 ✺
29.04.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Strømsgodset 2	1:2 ✺
21.04.24	Rosenborg II - Lillestrøm 2	5:3 ✺
14.04.24	Lillestrøm 2 - Byåsen	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
17.07.23	Lillestrøm 2 - Stabæk 2	2:2
12.06.23	Stabæk 2 - Lillestrøm 2	2:6

Stabæk 2 - Lillestrøm 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide