Match Info

National 2 - Group A - Round 12

Date: 5 December 2025, Friday


	Stade Poitevin		Granville

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.2	3.55
	1.98	3.2	3.48
	2	3.26	3.49	Watch
	2	3	3.5
	2.01	3.58	3.42
	2.05	3.25	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.45)	3.25 ↓ (3.26)	3.47 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stade Poitevin
45.7%

Draw
28.1%

Granville
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

28.1%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

27%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stade Poitevin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stade Poitevin's performance.

Granville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Granville might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade Poitevin than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stade Poitevin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granville than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Granville could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Stade Poitevin - Granville Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Stade Poitevin (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+2', 1 - 0, Baana W. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Stade Poitevin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Granville is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Stade Poitevin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Stade Poitevin won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Poitevin FC
French National 1 - Group A
21.11.25	Stade Poitevin - Angoulême	2:0 ✺
Coupe De France
15.11.25	Lapalisse - Stade Poitevin	1:2 ✺
French National 1 - Group A
08.11.25	Saint-Malo - Stade Poitevin	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Stade Poitevin - Olympique de Saumur	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Voltigeurs de Châteaubriant - Stade Poitevin	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLTT
- US Granville
Coupe De France
29.11.25	Montreuil - Granville	2:1 penalties ✺
French National 1 - Group A
22.11.25	Granville - Aviron Bayonnais	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
15.11.25	Granville - Dinan-Léhon	3:1 ✺
French National 1 - Group A
07.11.25	Angoulême - Granville	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Granville - Montlouis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

French National 1 - Group B
18.04.25	Granville - Stade Poitevin	2:0

Stade Poitevin - Granville: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide