Match Info

Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 5

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Hedi-Enneifer (Le Bardo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Tunisia	Diwan Sport, Watania 1


	Stade Tunisien		Espérance ST

	1	X	2
	3.9	2.87	1.93
	3.75	2.88	2.02
	3.91	2.50	2.35	Watch
	3.38	2.58	2.41
	3.14	3.1	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.62 ↑ (3.2)	2.79 ↓ (3)	2.15 (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stade Tunisien
25.1%

Draw
32.6%

Espérance ST
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

30%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.4%

29.2%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stade Tunisien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Espérance ST has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Tunisien than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espérance ST than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Stade Tunisien - Espérance ST Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Espérance ST (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Stade Tunisien (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Espérance ST (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Stade Tunisien (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Espérance ST (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Farhati N. (G) 27. Khalfa H. 18. Khemissi M. 10. Ndaw A. 9. N'Diaye A. 7. Ouerghemmi W. 8. Saafi Y. 34. Sahraoui M. 3. Saihi A. 25. Sghaier S. 21. Toure Y.	32. Ben Said B. (G) 11. Belaili Y. 2. Ben Ali M. 20. Ben Hamida M. 27. Guenichi K. 19. Jabri A. 31. Jebali C. 5. Meriah Y. 14. Ogbelu O. 15. Tougai M. 10. Yan Sasse
Substitutes
16. Dkhili A. (G) 13. Gharbi M. 19. Haboubi A. 11. Iffia F. 14. Jelassi E. 26. Jouadi A. 2. Riahi M. 20. Smaali M. 6. Thiam M.	7. Boualia K. 33. Bouassida A. 13. Bouchniba R. 17. Dhaou H. 6. Jelassi H. 21. Konate A. 12. Laifi N. 1. Memmiche A. (G) 8. Tka H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 🟨,
18', 🟨,
20', Meriah Y. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Khemissi M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ogbelu O. ↓, Konate A. ↑,
46', Yan Sasse ↓, Boualia K. ↑,
59', Belaili Y. 🟨,
71', Khemissi M. ↓, Haboubi A. ↑,
77', Ouerghemmi W. ↓, Thiam M. ↑,
77', Guenichi K. ↓, Tka H. ↑,
77', Jebali C. ↓, Dhaou H. ↑,
80', Khatoui C. 🟨,
85', Ben Ali M. 🟨,
86', Ben Ali M. ↓, Bouassida A. ↑,
90+1', Khalfa H. 🟨,
90+7', Khalfa H. ↓, Riahi M. ↑,
90+7', Sghaier S. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stade Tunisien won 0.

In recent matches, Stade Tunisien has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Espérance ST is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Espérance ST could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stade Tunisien won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 15:34. (average 0.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Stade Tunisien won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 0.9:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Tunisien
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
27.08.25	Stade Tunisien - Métlaoui	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Soliman - Stade Tunisien	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Stade Tunisien - JS Kairouan	1:0 ✺
10.08.25	Monastir - Stade Tunisien	1:1 ✺
Tunisian Super Cup
03.08.25	Espérance ST - Stade Tunisien	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTWTL
- Espérance ST
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
28.08.25	Espérance ST - Soliman	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	JS Kairouan - Espérance ST	0:4 ✺
15.08.25	Espérance ST - Monastir	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	Gabès - Espérance ST	0:0 ✺
Tunisian Super Cup
03.08.25	Espérance ST - Stade Tunisien	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Super Cup
03.08.25	Espérance ST - Stade Tunisien	1:0
Tunisian Cup
01.06.25	Espérance ST - Stade Tunisien	1:0
Tunisian Super Cup
16.02.25	Espérance ST - Stade Tunisien	2:0
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
08.02.25	Stade Tunisien - Espérance ST	0:1
29.09.24	Espérance ST - Stade Tunisien	2:2
05.05.24	Stade Tunisien - Espérance ST	2:0
05.03.24	Espérance ST - Stade Tunisien	2:0

Stade Tunisien - Espérance ST: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide