Match Info

Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 7

Date: 24 September 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stade Hedi-Enneifer (Le Bardo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Tunisia	Watania 2


	Stade Tunisien		Marsa

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.55	6.9
	1.5	3.57	8.03
	1.19	6.42	11.93	Watch
	1.54	3.79	6.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.43)	4.33 ↑ (3.7)	8.32 ↑ (7.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stade Tunisien
66.7%

Draw
21.9%

Marsa
11.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.6%

24.6%

11.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

23.1%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stade Tunisien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Marsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade Tunisien than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Stade Tunisien - Marsa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stade Tunisien (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Stade Tunisien will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Farhati N. (G) 13. Gharbi M. 19. Haboubi A. 10. Ndaw A. 11. Nguili A. 2. Riahi M. 34. Sahraoui M. 3. Saihi A. 25. Sghaier S. 20. Smaali M. 6. Thiam M.	23. Helal S. (G) 21. Adejoh O. 5. Arfaoui Y. 28. Ben Hamida A. 15. Gneba R. 9. Hadhri A. 7. Hammami K. 17. Jebali O. 10. Jouini A. 6. Karoui O. 27. Khaloui M.
Substitutes
14. Boubacar J. 16. Dkhili A. (G) 17. Hanchi A. 26. Jaouadi A. 15. Jaziri A. 27. Khalfa H. 18. Khemissi M. 9. N'Diaye A. 32. Riahi R.	1. Abessi B. (G) 24. Attia M. 4. El Islem T. 3. Hichri H. 30. Kalu G. 29. Neji F. 13. Traidi M. 11. Traidi O. 19. Zouari Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Saihi A. ⚽,
42', Sahraoui M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Smaali M. ↓, Riahi R. ↑,
47', Riahi R. 🟨,
63', Thiam M. ↓, Jaziri A. ↑,
63', Gharbi M. ↓, Jaouadi A. ↑,
74', Arfaoui Y. 🟨,
85', Saihi A. ↓, Khalfa H. ↑,
86', 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stade Tunisien won 0.

Stade Tunisien is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Marsa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Stade Tunisien may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Stade Tunisien is the clear favorite.

We predict that Stade Tunisien will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Stade Tunisien won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:7. (average 0.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Stade Tunisien won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Tunisien
CAF Confederation Cup
20.09.25	Stade Tunisien - SNIM	2:0 ✺
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
16.09.25	Olympique Béja - Stade Tunisien	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Stade Tunisien - Espérance ST	1:0 ✺
27.08.25	Stade Tunisien - Métlaoui	2:0 ✺
21.08.25	Soliman - Stade Tunisien	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWT
- AS Marsa Tunisia
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
18.09.25	Marsa - Soliman	1:0 ✺
11.09.25	JS Kairouan - Marsa	2:1 ✺
27.08.25	Marsa - Monastir	0:0 ✺
22.08.25	Gabès - Marsa	2:1 ✺
15.08.25	Marsa - Ben Guerdane	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
22.05.16	Stade Tunisien - Marsa	1:1
27.12.15	Marsa - Stade Tunisien	1:0
05.05.15	Marsa - Stade Tunisien	2:1
06.12.14	Stade Tunisien - Marsa	0:0
23.02.14	Marsa - Stade Tunisien	2:1
09.11.13	Stade Tunisien - Marsa	0:1

Stade Tunisien - Marsa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide