Match Info

SENEGAL: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 11

Date: 7 January 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Stade de Mbour		Casa Sport

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Stade de Mbour
38.4%

Draw
36.8%

Casa Sport
24.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.9%

36.7%

24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

35.8%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stade de Mbour has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Casa Sport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stade de Mbour than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casa Sport than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

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This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Mbour won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Casa Sport could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mbour will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Mbour won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Mbour won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade de Mbour
Senegal Ligue 1
30.12.23	Jaraaf - Stade de Mbour	2:2 ✺
24.12.23	Stade de Mbour - Sonacos	1:0 ✺
17.12.23	Gorée - Stade de Mbour	2:1 ✺
10.12.23	Stade de Mbour - Diambars	1:1 ✺
02.12.23	Dakar SC - Stade de Mbour	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TWLTT
- Casa Sport
Senegal Ligue 1
03.01.24	Casa Sport - Teungueth	3:2 ✺
27.12.23	Pikine - Casa Sport	3:1 ✺
17.12.23	Casa Sport - Génération Foot	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	Casa Sport - Jaraaf	1:2 ✺
03.12.23	Sonacos - Casa Sport	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWLL

Stade de Mbour - Casa Sport