Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 24

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday


	Stade de Mbour		Ouakam

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.42	3.15
	2.72	2.4	3.34
	2.77	2.34	3.35	Watch
	2.5	2.45	3.1
	2.5	2.6	3.16	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.75)	2.44 ↓ (2.65)	3.22 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Stade de Mbour
34.6%

Draw
37.2%

Ouakam
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

34.4%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

35.2%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stade de Mbour has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Ouakam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stade de Mbour than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ouakam than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Stade de Mbour - Ouakam Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 11 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mbour won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Ouakam may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mbour won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Mbour won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Ouakam	30	8	18	4	23:16	7	42
10	Mbour	30	5	18	7	18:21	-3	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade de Mbour
Senegal Ligue 1
20.04.26	HLM - Stade de Mbour	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Stade de Mbour - Camberene	0:0 ✺
25.03.26	Stade de Mbour - Jaraaf	0:2 ✺
15.03.26	Stade de Mbour - Pikine	0:0 ✺
08.03.26	Sonacos - Stade de Mbour	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TTLTW
- US Ouakam
Senegal Ligue 1
19.04.26	Ouakam - Wally Daan	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	AJEL de Rufisque - Ouakam	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Dakar SC - Ouakam	1:1 ✺
25.03.26	Ouakam - HLM	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Camberene - Ouakam	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Senegal Ligue 1
29.12.25	Ouakam - Stade de Mbour	1:1
10.03.24	Ouakam - Stade de Mbour	1:1
12.11.23	Stade de Mbour - Ouakam	0:0
10.06.18	Stade de Mbour - Ouakam	0:2
07.06.18	Ouakam - Stade de Mbour	2:1
14.05.17	Stade de Mbour - Ouakam	1:1

Stade de Mbour - Ouakam: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide