Match Info

BELGIUM: Challenger Pro League - Round 29

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Stade de la Cite de l’Oie (Visé)

Referee: Letellier A. (Bel)


	Standard Liège U23		Seraing

	1	X	2
	4	4	1.73	Watch
	3.6	3.8	1.71
	4	4	1.75	Watch
	3.85	4.66	1.76
	3.76	4.66	1.75
	3.9	3.9	1.7
	4.04	4.04	1.74	Watch
	3.8	4	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↑ (3.74)	4.13 ↑ (3.72)	1.73 ↓ (1.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Standard Liège U23
24%

Draw
22.5%

Seraing
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

25.2%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

24.6%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Standard Liège U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Seraing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Standard Liège U23 than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Seraing than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
8.3%	25%	66.7%

Standard Liège U23 - Seraing Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Standard U23 will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Seraing will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Seraing: 40% – 93.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Epolo M. (G) 9. Benjdida S. 90. Cisse F. 29. Dierckx D. 31. Dodeigne N. 48. Kuavita L. 2. Lawrence H. 23. Mateta Pepa R. 26. Mawete N. (C) 17. Ruvalcaba J. 24. Ziani I.	61. Sy P. (G) 37. Balongo N. 10. Cachbach M. 25. Diarra D. 24. Droehnle R. 9. Fall P. M. 29. Kebe O. 15. Ndiaye C. O. 91. Perrey S. 6. Solheid N. 17. Tremoulet S.
Substitutes
7. Assengue S. 93. Bianda W. 42. Brrou A. 5. Diaw B. 10. Giunta A. 36. Godfroid M. (G) 20. Makembo-Ntemo N. 47. Mansala Mpudi A. 4. Tory S.	22. Bayo A. 49. Camara M. 14. Guillaume V. 8. Kilota G. 16. Margueron L. (G) 2. Marloye S. 97. Raillot L. 33. Scarpinati M. 57. Segbe Azankpo D.
Coaches
Goreux R.	Leye M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Benjdida S. ⚽, Ziani I. (A),
39', Cachbach M. 🟨,
44', Ruvalcaba J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Cachbach M. ↓, Bayo A. ↑,
46', Perrey S. ↓, Kilota G. ↑,
63', Lawrence H. ↓, Brrou A. ↑,
63', Dodeigne N. ↓, Diaw B. ↑,
63', Ruvalcaba J. ↓, Makembo-Ntemo N. ↑,
68', Ndiaye C. O. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
69', Brrou A. 🟨,
80', Balongo N. ↓, Raillot L. ↑,
80', Solheid N. ↓, Guillaume V. ↑,
81', Ziani I. ↓, Giunta A. ↑,
81', Mateta Pepa R. ↓, Mansala Mpudi A. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, Fall P. M. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 2, Fall P. M. ⚽, Bayo A. (A),

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ National Division 1 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ National Division 1).

Standard U23 is Relegated to National Division 1

Standard U23 has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Seraing is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Standard U23 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Seraing will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Standard U23 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Standard Liège U23
Belgian Challenger Pro League
07.04.24	Genk U23 - Standard Liège U23	1:0 ✺
30.03.24	Standard Liège U23 - K Lyra-Lierse Berlaar	0:1 ✺
16.03.24	Dender EH - Standard Liège U23	4:1 ✺
09.03.24	Standard Liège U23 - Brugge U23	1:2 ✺
01.03.24	Zulte Waregem - Standard Liège U23	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLLLT
- RFC Seraing
Belgian Challenger Pro League
06.04.24	Lommel - Seraing	0:0 ✺
31.03.24	Seraing - Oostende	1:1 ✺
15.03.24	Brugge U23 - Seraing	1:1 ✺
09.03.24	Seraing - Beveren	1:2 ✺
03.03.24	Seraing - Patro Eisden Maasmechelen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Challenger Pro League
11.08.23	Seraing - Standard Liège U23	3:0

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