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Current Win Probability
Standard Liège U23 17.3%
Draw 23.7%
Mons 59%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.8%
25.1%
55.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.4%
24.6%
56.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Standard Liège U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
Mons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Standard Liège U23 than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mons than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Standard Liège U23 - Mons Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
17', 2 - 0, ⚽,
28', 2 - 1, ⚽,
35', 2 - 2, ⚽,
41', 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 3 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 11th in the National Division 1 - ACFF (Relegation Group: ) and 6th in the Promotion - National Division 1 - ACFF (Promotion Group: )).
Standard U23 has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Mons is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
In this match, Mons enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Standard U23 has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:9 (averaging 0.7:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Standard U23 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 1:4 goals (averaging 0.5:2 per game).