Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP II - ROUND 9

Date: 23 September 2023, Saturday


	Starogard Gdański		Vineta Wolin

	1	X	2
	2.61	3.5	2.27
	2.6	3.6	2.3	Watch
	2.27	3.8	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.49 ↓ (4.65)	3.63 ↓ (4.5)	2.34 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Starogard Gdański
36.3%

Draw
24.9%

Vineta Wolin
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.5%

20.1%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.1%

19.6%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Starogard Gdański has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Starogard Gdański's performance.

Vineta Wolin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vineta Wolin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Starogard Gdański than the current prediction. (-17.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Starogard Gdański that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vineta Wolin than the current prediction. (+23.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vineta Wolin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Starogard Gdański is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vineta Wolin is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Vineta Wolin is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Starogard Gdański won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Starogard Gdański won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KP Starogard Gdański
Polish Division 3 - Group II
16.09.23	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Starogard Gdański	6:0 ✺
09.09.23	Starogard Gdański - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	1:2 ✺
02.09.23	Stolem Gniewino - Starogard Gdański	2:3 ✺
27.08.23	Starogard Gdański - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	0:2 ✺
23.08.23	Sokół Kleczew - Starogard Gdański	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLWLL
- Vineta Wolin
Polish Division 3 - Group II
16.09.23	Vineta Wolin - Pogoń Szczecin II	1:1 ✺
09.09.23	Cartusia Kartuzy - Vineta Wolin	1:2 ✺
01.09.23	Vineta Wolin - Unia Swarzędz	2:1 ✺
27.08.23	Flota Świnoujście - Vineta Wolin	2:0 ✺
23.08.23	Vineta Wolin - Unia Solec Kujawski	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
09.06.23	Starogard Gdański - Vineta Wolin	1:2
12.11.22	Vineta Wolin - Starogard Gdański	1:1

Starogard Gdański - Vineta Wolin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide