Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP II - ROUND 17

Date: 15 March 2023, Wednesday


	Starogard Gdański		Jarota Jarocin

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.75	4.6
	1.6	3.75	4.35
	1.39	4.3	6.4
	1.57	3.78	4.8
	1.57	3.88	5.2	Watch
	1.45	4.4	5.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.5)	3.98 ↓ (4.6)	5.08 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Starogard Gdański
59.4%

Draw
22.8%

Jarota Jarocin
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Starogard Gdański has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Jarota Jarocin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Starogard Gdański than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jarota Jarocin than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	8.3%	50%

Starogard Gdański - Jarota Jarocin Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Starogard Gdański will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Jarota will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jarota: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 6 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Starogard Gdański won 2.

Starogard Gdański in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Jarota is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Starogard Gdański is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Starogard Gdański to win the game is with odds 1.5.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Starogard Gdański won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Starogard Gdański won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KP Starogard Gdański
Polish Division 3 - Group II
11.03.23	Unia Swarzędz - Starogard Gdański	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Starogard Gdański - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.02.23	Starogard Gdański - Unia Solec Kujawski	1:2 ✺
11.02.23	Starogard Gdański - Gedania Gdańsk	2:0 ✺
28.01.23	Concordia Elbląg - Starogard Gdański	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TTLWL
- Jarota Jarocin
Polish Division 3 - Group II
11.03.23	Jarota Jarocin - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	Zawisza awarded ✺
04.03.23	Pogoń Szczecin II - Jarota Jarocin	4:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.02.23	KKS Kalisz - Jarota Jarocin	4:0 ✺
Polish Division 3 - Group II
13.11.22	Jarota Jarocin - Bałtyk Gdynia	0:2 ✺
05.11.22	Unia Swarzędz - Jarota Jarocin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 ?LLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
21.05.22	Starogard Gdański - Jarota Jarocin	1:3
16.10.21	Jarota Jarocin - Starogard Gdański	1:3
01.08.20	Starogard Gdański - Jarota Jarocin	2:6
18.08.19	Starogard Gdański - Jarota Jarocin	0:1
15.06.19	Jarota Jarocin - Starogard Gdański	2:4
24.11.18	Starogard Gdański - Jarota Jarocin	3:1
19.05.18	Jarota Jarocin - Starogard Gdański	1:1

Starogard Gdański - Jarota Jarocin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide