Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP II - ROUND 27

Date: 6 May 2023, Saturday


	Starogard Gdański		Olimpia Grudziądz

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.6	1.72
	3.4	3.6	1.85
	4.21	3.66	1.66
	4.5	3.68	1.69	Watch
	3.4	3.8	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.86 ↑ (2.9)	3.67 ↓ (3.9)	1.74 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Starogard Gdański
23.4%

Draw
24.7%

Olimpia Grudziądz
51.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

23.3%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

22.7%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Starogard Gdański has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Starogard Gdański's form might have worsened.

Olimpia Grudziądz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olimpia Grudziądz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Starogard Gdański than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Starogard Gdański, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Grudziądz than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olimpia Grudziądz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Starogard Gdański - Olimpia Grudziądz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2).

Recent matches Starogard Gdański is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Olimpia is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Olimpia is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Starogard Gdański won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Starogard Gdański won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KP Starogard Gdański
Polish Division 3 - Group II
29.04.23	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Starogard Gdański	1:2 ✺
23.04.23	Starogard Gdański - Cartusia Kartuzy	2:2 ✺
08.04.23	Starogard Gdański - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1:2 ✺
31.03.23	Pogoń Szczecin II - Starogard Gdański	2:1 ✺
25.03.23	Starogard Gdański - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTLLW
- Olimpia Grudziądz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
29.04.23	Olimpia Grudziądz - Bałtyk Gdynia	4:0 ✺
22.04.23	Unia Swarzędz - Olimpia Grudziądz	0:1 ✺
15.04.23	Olimpia Grudziądz - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:1 ✺
07.04.23	Jarota Jarocin - Olimpia Grudziądz	0:3 ✺
01.04.23	Olimpia Grudziądz - Vineta Wolin	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
01.10.22	Olimpia Grudziądz - Starogard Gdański	1:3
Club Friendly
29.07.22	Olimpia Grudziądz - Starogard Gdański	1:0
Polish Division 3 - Group II
04.06.22	Starogard Gdański - Olimpia Grudziądz	1:1
31.10.21	Olimpia Grudziądz - Starogard Gdański	1:2

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