Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP II - ROUND 11

Date: 6 October 2023, Friday


	Starogard Gdański		Swit Skolwin

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.8	1.49
	5.5	3.6	1.53	Watch
	5.7	3.62	1.53
	6.05	3.7	1.5	Watch
	5	4.5	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.55 ↑ (5.1)	3.84 ↓ (4.65)	1.5 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Starogard Gdański
16.3%

Draw
23.5%

Swit Skolwin
60.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.8%

19.5%

62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.4%

19%

64.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Starogard Gdański has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Swit Skolwin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Starogard Gdański than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swit Skolwin than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Starogard Gdański won 1.

Starogard Gdański is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Swit Skolwin in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match Swit Skolwin is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Starogard Gdański won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Starogard Gdański won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4-14.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KP Starogard Gdański
Polish Division 3 - Group II
30.09.23	Polonia Środa Wielkopolska - Starogard Gdański	0:0 ✺
23.09.23	Starogard Gdański - Vineta Wolin	1:3 ✺
16.09.23	Zawisza Bydgoszcz - Starogard Gdański	6:0 ✺
09.09.23	Starogard Gdański - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	1:2 ✺
02.09.23	Stolem Gniewino - Starogard Gdański	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLLW
- Swit Skolwin
Polish Division 3 - Group II
01.10.23	Swit Skolwin - Pogoń Szczecin II	3:1 ✺
23.09.23	Cartusia Kartuzy - Swit Skolwin	0:1 ✺
15.09.23	Swit Skolwin - Unia Swarzędz	3:1 ✺
09.09.23	Flota Świnoujście - Swit Skolwin	1:3 ✺
01.09.23	Swit Skolwin - Unia Solec Kujawski	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
24.05.23	Swit Skolwin - Starogard Gdański	0:0
22.10.22	Starogard Gdański - Swit Skolwin	1:0
27.04.22	Starogard Gdański - Swit Skolwin	0:1
18.09.21	Swit Skolwin - Starogard Gdański	2:1
18.06.21	Starogard Gdański - Swit Skolwin	0:2
08.05.21	Swit Skolwin - Starogard Gdański	1:2
26.09.20	Starogard Gdański - Swit Skolwin	2:4

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