Match Info

Romanian Cup - Qualification - Final

Date: 20 August 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Romania	Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Steaua București		Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.80	1.51
	6.40	4.35	1.45
	4.90	4.05	1.62
	5.59	4.44	1.45
	4.25	3.75	1.60
	4.30	3.58	1.79	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.12 ↑ (2.7)	4 ↑ (2.95)	1.57 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Steaua București
18.1%

Draw
23.1%

Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33%

30.2%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

28.2%

34.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Steaua București has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Steaua București's form might have worsened.

Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Steaua București than the current prediction. (+17.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Steaua București, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc than the current prediction. (-24.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Steaua București - Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Steaua will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Csíkszereda will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Csíkszereda: 46.4% – 99%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Csíkszereda (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Csíkszereda (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Csíkszereda (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Csíkszereda (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Trif R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 1, Chipirliu B. (Penalty Awarded),
Extra Time (0 - 1)
111', 1 - 2, Szalay S. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Steaua won 1.

Recent performances by Steaua have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Csíkszereda has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Csíkszereda may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Csíkszereda is the obvious favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Steaua won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Steaua won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSA Steaua București
Romanian Division 2
16.08.26	FC Bacău - Steaua București	3:0 ✺
Romanian Cup
12.08.26	Dunărea Giurgiu - Steaua București	0:3 ✺
Romanian Division 2
08.08.26	Steaua București - Râmnicu Vâlcea	1:2 ✺
02.08.26	Steaua București - CSM Slatina	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.26	Steaua București - Tunari	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLW
- FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc
Romanian SuperLiga
15.08.26	Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc - Sepsi OSK	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	Farul Constanța - Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc	3:2 ✺
31.07.26	Argeș Pitești - Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc	1:0 ✺
26.07.26	Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc - FCSB	0:2 ✺
20.07.26	Corvinul Hunedoara - Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Romanian Division 2
30.04.25	Steaua București - Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc	0:0
03.04.25	Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc - Steaua București	0:0
30.09.24	Steaua București - Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc	0:0
13.11.23	Steaua București - Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc	1:0
23.08.22	Steaua București - Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc	0:4
04.08.21	Steaua București - Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc	1:0

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