Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 2 - ROUND 26

Date: 30 March 2024, Saturday


	Stomil Olsztyn		Hutnik

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.55	3.1	2.6	Watch
	2.63	3.15	2.73
	2.63	3.07	2.73
	2.45	3.1	2.5
	2.56	3.04	2.58	Watch
	2.6	3.2	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.35)	3.11 ↓ (3.25)	2.62 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stomil Olsztyn
35.7%

Draw
29.4%

Hutnik
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

28.6%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

29%

31.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stomil Olsztyn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Hutnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stomil Olsztyn than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hutnik than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Stomil Olsztyn - Hutnik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Garstkiewicz M. (G) 18. Bezpalec M. 77. Florek B. 50. Karlikowski M. 7. Krawczun H. 3. Kuban L. 23. Laskowski F. 19. Pietraszkiewicz D. 25. Sadowski H. 14. Szabaciuk F. 10. Zwir K. (C)	1. Fratczak D. (G) 27. Budzinski M. 17. Chmiel S. 10. Drag M. 47. Glogowski K. 30. Jania F. 9. Lelek K. 92. Rakels D. 32. Tarasovs I. 6. Urbanczyk M. 99. Wrobel M.
Substitutes
27. Brikner I. 74. Drabiszczak M. 9. Kurbiel P. 8. Retlewski D. 12. Szpaderski J. (G) 17. Szramowski L. 29. Tuleja R.	77. Glogowski M. 45. Hoyo-Kowalski D. 18. Ikwuka A. 39. Kaczorowski W. (G) 23. Marcinkowski J. 21. Szablowski K. 8. Zawadzki D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Laskowski F. ⚽,
40', Lelek K. 🟨,
41', 2 - 0, Zwir K. ⚽,
43', Urbanczyk M. 🟨,
45+1', Zwir K. 🟨,
45+2', Jania F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Krawczun H. ↓, Kurbiel P. ↑,
46', Chmiel S. ↓, Hoyo-Kowalski D. ↑,
51', Tarasovs I. 🟨,
59', Pietraszkiewicz D. ↓, Szramowski L. ↑,
59', Drag M. ↓, Zawadzki D. ↑,
59', Lelek K. ↓, Glogowski M. ↑,
72', Jania F. ↓, Marcinkowski J. ↑,
77', Bezpalec M. ↓, Brikner I. ↑,
79', Laskowski F. 🟨,
83', 3 - 0, Florek B. ⚽,
83', Urbanczyk M. ↓, Szablowski K. ↑,
87', Florek B. ↓, Drabiszczak M. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Stomil has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Hutnik Nowa Huta is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Stomil have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Stomil won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Stomil won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stomil Olsztyn
Polish Division 2
23.03.24	KKS Kalisz - Stomil Olsztyn	0:0 ✺
17.03.24	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Stomil Olsztyn	1:0 ✺
13.03.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Stomil Olsztyn	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Stomil Olsztyn - Stal Stalowa Wola	0:1 ✺
04.03.24	ŁKS Łódź II - Stomil Olsztyn	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLLLL
- Hutnik Kraków
Polish Division 2
24.03.24	Hutnik - Stal Stalowa Wola	1:1 ✺
18.03.24	ŁKS Łódź II - Hutnik	0:0 ✺
09.03.24	Hutnik - Wisła Puławy	1:1 ✺
01.03.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Hutnik	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Hutnik - GKS Jastrzębie	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
17.09.23	Hutnik - Stomil Olsztyn	2:1
21.05.23	Hutnik - Stomil Olsztyn	1:1
15.10.22	Stomil Olsztyn - Hutnik	4:3

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