Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 1 - Round 15

Date: 10 July 2024, Wednesday


	Stord Sunnhordland		Frøya

	1	X	2
	1.7	4.5	3.6
	1.7	4.73	3.22
	1.69	4.86	3.43
	1.67	4.4	3.3
	1.65	4.5	3.74
	1.7	4.5	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (2.1)	4.58 ↓ (5)	3.48 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stord Sunnhordland
54%

Draw
19.9%

Frøya
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

18%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

17.3%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stord Sunnhordland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Stord Sunnhordland's performance.

Frøya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Frøya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stord Sunnhordland than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Stord Sunnhordland that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Frøya than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Frøya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Stord Sunnhordland - Frøya Predictions

Users Predictions: Stord Sunnhordland will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
21', 0 - 1, Pettersen D. ⚽,
24', 1 - 1, Stoknes J. H. ⚽,
26', 1 - 2, Pettersen D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
47', 1 - 3, Pettersen D. ⚽,
51', 1 - 4, Hodnefjell H. ⚽,
85', 1 - 5, Hanes J. ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Stord Sunnhordland has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Frøya is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Frøya could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Stord Sunnhordland have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Stord Sunnhordland won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Stord Sunnhordland won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stord Sunnhordland
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
29.06.24	Stord Sunnhordland - Bjarg	1:2 ✺
22.06.24	Haugesund 2 - Stord Sunnhordland	7:5 ✺
15.06.24	Stord Sunnhordland - Førde	1:3 ✺
01.06.24	Stord Sunnhordland - Sandviken	1:4 ✺
25.05.24	Stord Sunnhordland - Fana	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Frøya Fotball
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
05.07.24	Frøya - Årdal FK	4:0 ✺
29.06.24	Djerv 1919 - Frøya	5:2 ✺
21.06.24	Frøya - Os TF	0:3 ✺
10.06.24	Frøya - Åsane 2	0:4 ✺
01.06.24	Loddefjord - Frøya	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
29.10.23	Stord Sunnhordland - Frøya	2:1

Stord Sunnhordland - Frøya: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide