Match Info

SWEDEN: DIVISION 2 - NORRLAND - ROUND 11

Date: 11 June 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Storfors		Ytterhogdal

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.75	3.4
	1.76	3.65	3.4
	1.85	4.14	3.16
	1.73	3.6	3.7
	1.8	3.95	3.6
	1.83	4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.6)	3.85 (3.85)	3.44 ↓ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Storfors
50.4%

Draw
23.4%

Ytterhogdal
26.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.1%

22.9%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

17.7%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Storfors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Ytterhogdal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Storfors than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Storfors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ytterhogdal than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Storfors - Ytterhogdal Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Storfors will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Ytterhogdal will win (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Storfors: 15.4% – 84.6%.

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Storfors is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ytterhogdal has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Storfors is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Storfors won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Storfors won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Storfors AIK
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
02.06.23	Notvikens - Storfors	0:0 ✺
27.05.23	Storfors - IFK Östersunds	1:3 ✺
18.05.23	Storfors - Gottne	0:4 ✺
13.05.23	Kiruna - Storfors	2:2 ✺
06.05.23	Storfors - Sandvik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLTL
- Ytterhogdals IK
Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
03.06.23	Ytterhogdal - Gottne	0:1 ✺
27.05.23	Kiruna - Ytterhogdal	2:1 ✺
20.05.23	Ytterhogdal - Sandvik	0:0 ✺
12.05.23	Frösö - Ytterhogdal	2:1 ✺
06.05.23	Ytterhogdal - Skellefteå FF	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Norrland
01.10.22	Ytterhogdal - Storfors	1:2
18.06.22	Storfors - Ytterhogdal	5:2
21.08.21	Storfors - Ytterhogdal	1:2
13.06.21	Ytterhogdal - Storfors	2:0

Storfors - Ytterhogdal