Match Info

3. MSFL - Round 30

Date: 29 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Stadion na Zelnickach (Strani)


	Strání		Hodonín

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.7	2.75
	1.52	4.1	5
	1.56	3.95	5.21
	1.56	4.12	4.91	Watch
	1.56	4.1	4.7
	1.52	4.1	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (2.45)	4.01 ↑ (3.5)	4.6 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strání
56.8%

Draw
23.1%

Hodonín
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

25.1%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

25.2%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strání has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Strání's performance.

Hodonín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hodonín might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strání than the current prediction. (-20.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Strání that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hodonín than the current prediction. (+18.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hodonín could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Strání - Hodonín Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Strání will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Hodonín will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -1 - Strání (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Strání will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Strání (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Hodonín (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Nemrava V. (G) 6. Droppa L. 25. Hasa R. 7. Holik R. 13. Hrubos F. (C) 20. Kicin F. 10. Kim Dong-Ha 11. Michalec M. 17. Okonji E. 32. Pernatskyi O. 15. Spacil J.	1. Petras M. (C) 14. Bohun P. 3. Dressler P. 2. Durek P. 11. Jager T. 22. Langer T. 25. Necas M. 8. Pernica L. 17. Rihak A. 7. Svantner P. 4. Vincour T.
Substitutes
24. Cano O. 22. Krupko H. 27. Lee H. 9. Michalec J. 1. Slavik D. (G) 21. Toth S. 26. Zamecnik R.	10. Absolon N. 20. Cermak D. (G) 12. Hamrle L. 5. Kosut J. 13. Lamacek M. 15. Opatril D. 6. Vintr M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Pernica L. ⚽,
16', 1 - 1, Hasa R. ⚽,
19', 1 - 2, Pernica L. ⚽,
29', Kicin F. ↓, Michalec J. ↑,
42', 2 - 2, Hasa R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Kim Dong-Ha 🟨,
61', Spacil J. ↓, Lee H. ↑,
67', Bohun P. ↓, Opatril D. ↑,
71', Hasa R. 🟨,
74', Holik R. 🟨,
77', Pernatskyi O. 🟨,
86', Michalec M. ↓, Cano O. ↑,
88', Hrubos F. 🟨,
88', Rihak A. 🟨,
89', 🟨,
89', Langer T. ↓, Absolon N. ↑,
90+3', Jager T. ↓, Hamrle L. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4).

Strání has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Hodonín is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Hodonín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Strání won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Strání won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Strání
Czech MSFL
24.05.25	Fotbal Třinec - Strání	3:0 ✺
21.05.25	Strání - Start Brno	1:2 ✺
17.05.25	Strání - Unie Hlubina	1:0 ✺
08.05.25	Hanácká Slavia Kroměříž - Strání	2:1 ✺
03.05.25	Znojmo - Strání	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLW
- FK Hodonín
Czech MSFL
27.05.25	Hodonín - Uničov	0:2 ✺
21.05.25	Znojmo - Hodonín	2:3 ✺
16.05.25	Zlinsko - Hodonín	1:4 ✺
10.05.25	Hodonín - Uherský Brod	5:2 ✺
03.05.25	Blansko - Hodonín	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Czech MSFL
26.10.24	Hodonín - Strání	0:0
Czech 4 Liga Group E
20.10.19	Strání - Hodonín	1:0

Strání - Hodonín: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide