Match Info

GERMANY: REGIONALLIGA WEST - ROUND 15

Date: 5 November 2022, Saturday


	Straelen		Köln II

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.5	1.82
	3.75	3.35	1.87
	3.5	3.7	1.87
	3.74	3.62	1.92
	3.4	3.2	2
	3.84	3.84	1.83
	3.5	3.65	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.6 ↑ (3.15)	3.55 ↑ (3.2)	1.88 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Straelen
25.4%

Draw
25.8%

Köln II
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

28.3%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6%

25.7%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Straelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Köln II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Köln II's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Straelen than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Straelen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln II than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Köln II, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	12.5%	75%

Straelen - Köln II Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Straelen will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Köln II will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Köln II: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Straelen won 0.

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

Straelen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Köln II will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Straelen won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Straelen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Straelen
German Regionalliga West
29.10.22	Straelen - Fortuna Köln	0:1 ✺
23.10.22	Borussia Mönchengladbach II - Straelen	2:1 ✺
15.10.22	Straelen - Alemannia Aachen	2:4 ✺
08.10.22	Bocholt - Straelen	4:0 ✺
01.10.22	Straelen - Wiedenbrück	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLLW
- 1. Köln II
German Regionalliga West
30.10.22	Köln II - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	0:2 ✺
21.10.22	Alemannia Aachen - Köln II	3:1 ✺
15.10.22	Köln II - Bocholt	1:3 ✺
08.10.22	Wiedenbrück - Köln II	2:0 ✺
01.10.22	Köln II - SG Wattenscheid	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
09.04.22	Köln II - Straelen	0:0
30.10.21	Straelen - Köln II	1:2
14.04.21	Straelen - Köln II	0:3
04.11.20	Köln II - Straelen	2:0
09.03.19	Straelen - Köln II	0:4
08.09.18	Köln II - Straelen	1:2

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