Match Info

RUSSIA: Youth League - Round 16

Date: 26 July 2024, Friday


	Strogino Moscow U19		Rubin Kazan U19

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.38	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (2.91)	3.38 (3.38)	2.3 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strogino Moscow U19
32.2%

Draw
27.4%

Rubin Kazan U19
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

27.4%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

26.9%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strogino Moscow U19 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Rubin Kazan U19 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strogino Moscow U19 than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan U19 than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
61', 1 - 0, Kukushbaev R. ⚽,
64', 2 - 0, Baranov E. ⚽,
70', 2 - 1, Chernov S. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Youth League (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Youth League (Championship Group: )).

Strogino U19 is Youth League (Relegation Group )

Strogino U19 is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Rubin U19 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Rubin U19 have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Strogino U19 won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Strogino U19 won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Strogino Moscow U19
Russian Youth League
19.07.24	UOR Master-Saturn U19 - Strogino Moscow U19	0:1 ✺
12.07.24	Strogino Moscow U19 - Spartak Moscow U19	1:2 ✺
05.07.24	Baltika U19 - Strogino Moscow U19	3:2 ✺
28.06.24	Strogino Moscow U19 - Konoplev Academy U19	1:1 ✺
21.06.24	Strogino Moscow U19 - Krasnodar U19	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLTL
- Rubin Kazan U19
Russian Youth League
19.07.24	Rubin Kazan U19 - Krasnodar U19	0:0 ✺
12.07.24	Lokomotiv Moscow U19 - Rubin Kazan U19	2:1 ✺
05.07.24	Rubin Kazan U19 - Krylya Sovetov Samara U19	1:0 ✺
28.06.24	Rubin Kazan U19 - Sochi U19	0:1 ✺
21.06.24	Rubin Kazan U19 - Konoplev Academy U19	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Youth League
26.04.24	Rubin Kazan U19 - Strogino Moscow U19	2:0
03.12.21	Strogino Moscow U19 - Rubin Kazan U19	0:1
20.08.21	Rubin Kazan U19 - Strogino Moscow U19	1:1
02.12.20	Strogino Moscow U19 - Rubin Kazan U19	1:1

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