Match Info

Division 3 - Group 5 - Round 21

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Strømsgodset 2		Fløya

	1	X	2
	3.20	4.50	1.72
	4.6	5	1.43
	4.36	5.95	1.41
	3.87	5.8	1.52	Watch
	4.3	5.85	1.38
	5.78	5.8	1.31
	4.35	5	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.35 ↑ (2.59)	5.41 ↑ (4.39)	1.46 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strømsgodset 2
20.9%

Draw
16.8%

Fløya
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

20.4%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

20.5%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strømsgodset 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Strømsgodset 2's form might have worsened.

Fløya has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fløya's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strømsgodset 2 than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Strømsgodset 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fløya than the current prediction. (-17.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fløya, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Strømsgodset 2 - Fløya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 4)
55', 0 - 1, Egerton S. ⚽,
69', 1 - 1, Daehlin K. A. ⚽,
83', 2 - 1, Eriksrud M. ⚽,
85', 2 - 2, Monsen J. ⚽,
88', 2 - 3, Celius U. R. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 4, Lundberg M. ⚽,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 10th and 3rd).

In recent outings, Strømsgodset 2 has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Fløya is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Fløya may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Strømsgodset 2 has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:8 (averaging 1:2.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Strømsgodset 2 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 2:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Floya	22	14	3	5	64:35	29	45
11	Stromsgodset 2	22	7	3	12	44:51	-7	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Strømsgodset IF 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
14.09.26	Fauske Sprint - Strømsgodset 2	5:3 ✺
06.09.26	Strømsgodset 2 - Finnsnes	5:1 ✺
16.08.26	Strømsgodset 2 - Skedsmo	0:1 ✺
10.08.26	Kongsvinger 2 - Strømsgodset 2	2:3 ✺
02.08.26	Strømsgodset 2 - Tromsø 2	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLWL
- Fløya IL
Norwegian NM Cup
16.09.26	Fløya - Rosenborg	1:4 ✺
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
13.09.26	Kongsvinger 2 - Fløya	1:5 ✺
05.09.26	Fløya - Skjetten	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Skjervøy - Fløya	1:3 ✺
06.08.26	Fløya - Ulfstind	7:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 5
21.06.26	Fløya - Strømsgodset 2	4:0
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
08.08.22	Fløya - Strømsgodset 2	2:1
24.04.22	Strømsgodset 2 - Fløya	2:2

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