The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sturm Graz 75.6%
Draw 14.3%
Neulengbach 10%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.9%
21.3%
15.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.1%
19.7%
17.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sturm Graz's performance.
Neulengbach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Neulengbach might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-17.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sturm Graz that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neulengbach than the current prediction. (+7.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Neulengbach could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sturm Graz - Neulengbach Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Gritzner V. (G) 25. Riesenbeck L. 24. Kunstek M. 19. Grossgasteiger S. 11. Krajinovic R. 17. Breznik L. 15. Maierhofer S. (C) 26. Tragl L. 23. Kustrin Z. 14. Jakobsen S. 28. Spiess M.
23. Grabenhofer V. (G) 8. Brunmair L. 9. Satra F. 15. Wondrejc L. 16. Mayer J. 19. Ziletkina A. 21. Siever J. 25. Moser K. 30. Tabotta J. (C) 36. Holl A. 66. Grafl S.
Substitutes
27. Brandl E. 9. Deutsch P. 8. Keutz J. 5. Makalic E. 7. Mazuchova L. 16. Popofsits L. 99. Richter M. (G)
10. Djordjic J. 13. Dorfer F. 33. Gartner N. 1. Kandlhofer A. (G) 32. Kunz L. 7. Tuppinger D. 3. Willimek P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Ziletkina A. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Riesenbeck L. (Pen),
39', 2 - 1, Kustrin Z. ⚽, Jakobsen S. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Siever J. ↓, Tuppinger D. ↑,
46', Wondrejc L. ↓, Dorfer F. ↑,
59', 3 - 1, Maierhofer S. ⚽,
62', Kunstek M. ↓, Brandl E. ↑,
63', Satra F. ↓, Djordjic J. ↑,
63', Mayer J. ↓, Willimek P. ↑,
64', 4 - 1, Kustrin Z. ⚽, Jakobsen S. (A),
75', Kustrin Z. ↓, Deutsch P. ↑,
75', Grafl S. ↓, Gartner N. ↑,
82', Krajinovic R. ↓, Makalic E. ↑,
82', Grossgasteiger S. ↓, Mazuchova L. ↑,
82', Tragl L. ↓, Popofsits L. ↑,
90+7', 5 - 1, Brandl E. ⚽,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga Women (Championship Group: ) and 8 in the zone Bundesliga Women (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturm Graz won 4.
In recent matches, Sturm Graz has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Neulengbach is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Sturm Graz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Sturm Graz is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sturm Graz won 13 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 33:10. (average 2.1:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Sturm Graz won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 1.9:0.6).
Watch
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Gritzner V. (G) 
Riesenbeck L. 
Kunstek M. 
Kustrin Z. 
Jakobsen S. 
Mazuchova L. 
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