Match Info

SA State League - Round 8

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday


	Sturt Lions		Adelaide Olympic

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.2	4.1
	1.35	5	6.2
	1.33	5.39	6.57
	1.36	5.15	6.21	Watch
	1.31	5.15	7.04
	1.35	5	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.97)	4.98 ↑ (4.37)	6.05 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sturt Lions
66.5%

Draw
18.4%

Adelaide Olympic
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

20.9%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

19.2%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturt Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+20.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sturt Lions's performance.

Adelaide Olympic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Adelaide Olympic might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturt Lions than the current prediction. (-16.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sturt Lions that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adelaide Olympic than the current prediction. (+14.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Adelaide Olympic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sturt Lions - Adelaide Olympic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sturt Lions (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Sturt Lions will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Sortini A. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
54', 2 - 0, Altundag S. ⚽,
72', 3 - 0, Munro N. ⚽,
90+2', 4 - 0, Munro N. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ SA State League (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ SA State League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturt Lions won 1.

Sturt Lions has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Adelaide Olympic is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Sturt Lions is the team to beat.

We predict that Sturt Lions will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sturt Lions won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:16. (average 1.4:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sturt Lions won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sturt Lions
Australian SA State League
26.04.25	Cumberland United - Sturt Lions	0:2 ✺
12.04.25	Sturt Lions - West Adelaide	3:2 ✺
05.04.25	Sturt Lions - Adelaide Cobras	2:1 ✺
22.03.25	Pontian Eagles - Sturt Lions	0:2 ✺
16.03.25	Sturt Lions - Fulham United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWWW
- Adelaide Olympic FC
Australian SA State League
26.04.25	Adelaide Olympic - Adelaide Cobras	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Pontian Eagles - Adelaide Olympic	3:3 ✺
05.04.25	Adelaide Olympic - Fulham United	0:0 ✺
21.03.25	South Adelaide Panthers - Adelaide Olympic	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	Adelaide Olympic - Cove	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NPL South Australian
01.07.23	Adelaide Olympic - Sturt Lions	3:0
08.04.23	Sturt Lions - Adelaide Olympic	1:1
25.06.22	Sturt Lions - Adelaide Olympic	2:2
26.03.22	Adelaide Olympic - Sturt Lions	3:4
21.08.21	Adelaide Olympic - Sturt Lions	2:2
05.06.21	Sturt Lions - Adelaide Olympic	0:2
02.06.18	Adelaide Olympic - Sturt Lions	2:2

Sturt Lions - Adelaide Olympic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide