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Current Win Probability
Subiaco 36.5%
Draw 24.6%
Gwelup Croatia 38.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26%
23%
51%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.1%
22.2%
52.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Subiaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Subiaco's performance.
Gwelup Croatia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gwelup Croatia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Subiaco than the current prediction. (-11.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Subiaco that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gwelup Croatia than the current prediction. (+13.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gwelup Croatia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Subiaco - Gwelup Croatia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
51', 🟥,
54', 3 - 0, ⚽,
62', 3 - 1, ⚽,
65', 4 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 5 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Western Australia (Promotion: )).
Recent form of Subiaco has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Gwelup Croatia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Gwelup Croatia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Subiaco won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Subiaco won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Gwelup Croatia
21
6
7
8
34:43
-9
25
11
Subiaco
22
6
2
14
36:46
-10
20
Last Results with these Odds
Gwelup Croatia - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.02%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Australia
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