Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 26

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday


	Subiza		Barbastro

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.95	2.65
	2.55	2.95	2.7
	2.56	3.08	2.81
	2.54	2.99	2.78
	2.55	2.96	2.78
	2.55	2.95	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (3.2)	2.98 ↑ (2.89)	2.74 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Subiza
36%

Draw
30.6%

Barbastro
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

32%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

31.9%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Subiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Subiza's performance.

Barbastro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barbastro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Subiza than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Subiza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barbastro than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barbastro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Subiza - Barbastro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Diabate B. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
68', 1 - 1, Aguinaga P. ⚽,
80', 2 - 1, Anso M. ⚽,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Subiza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Subiza
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
02.03.25	Anguiano - Subiza	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Subiza - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	SD Logroñés - Subiza	3:0 ✺
08.02.25	Subiza - Calahorra	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Utebo - Subiza	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WLLTL
- UD Barbastro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
02.03.25	Teruel - Barbastro	2:0 ✺
23.02.25	Barbastro - Anguiano	1:0 ✺
15.02.25	Arenas Club de Getxo - Barbastro	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Barbastro - SD Logroñés	2:3 ✺
01.02.25	Calahorra - Barbastro	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
26.10.24	Barbastro - Subiza	2:0

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