Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 6

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday


	Subiza		SD Logroñés

	1	X	2
	3.75	3	1.9
	3.85	3.1	1.93
	3.78	3.1	2
	3.87	3.13	1.96	Watch
	3.81	3.2	1.97
	3.85	3.1	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↓ (4.87)	3.11 ↓ (3.25)	1.95 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Subiza
23.9%

Draw
29.4%

SD Logroñés
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.6%

27.9%

53.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

27.6%

54.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Subiza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Subiza's performance.

SD Logroñés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SD Logroñés might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Subiza than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Subiza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SD Logroñés than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SD Logroñés could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Subiza - SD Logroñés Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Asiron J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
60', 1 - 1, Garcia A. ⚽,
70', 1 - 2, Garcia A. ⚽,
84', 2 - 2, Sola J. ⚽,
85', 2 - 3, Lamadrid D. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Subiza is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

SD Logroñés is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

SD Logroñés will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Subiza
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
29.09.24	Calahorra - Subiza	0:1 ✺
21.09.24	Subiza - Utebo	0:2 ✺
15.09.24	Eibar B - Subiza	2:0 ✺
08.09.24	Subiza - Tudelano	0:1 ✺
31.08.24	Ejea - Subiza	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WLLLL
- SD Logroñés
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
29.09.24	SD Logroñés - Barbastro	0:0 ✺
22.09.24	Anguiano - SD Logroñés	0:1 ✺
15.09.24	SD Logroñés - Arenas Club de Getxo	2:1 ✺
08.09.24	SD Logroñés - Teruel	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Calahorra - SD Logroñés	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWWTW

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