Match Info

Superliga - Round 30

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday


	Suhareka		Drita Gjilan

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.3	1.8
	5.55	3.73	1.52
	5.9	3.82	1.52	Watch
	6.29	3.72	1.49
	3.75	3.45	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.05 ↑ (3.96)	3.6 ↑ (3.43)	1.63 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suhareka
18.2%

Draw
25.4%

Drita Gjilan
56.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

26.6%

50.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

25.6%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suhareka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Drita Gjilan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Drita Gjilan's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suhareka than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Drita Gjilan than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Suhareka - Drita Gjilan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Broja R. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Kodra E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 1 - 2, Kostyshyn D. ⚽,

Preview

Suhareka is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Drita is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Suhareka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Drita is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Suhareka won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:8 (average 1:2.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Suhareka won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Last Results with these Odds

Drita Gjilan - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.28%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Suhareka
Kosovo Superliga
15.04.25	Dukagjini - Suhareka	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Suhareka - Prishtina	0:4 ✺
05.04.25	Ballkani - Suhareka	3:1 ✺
28.03.25	Suhareka - Malisheva	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Llapi - Suhareka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLLWL
- FC Drita Gjilan
Kosovo Superliga
17.04.25	Drita Gjilan - Prishtina	2:0 ✺
13.04.25	Malisheva - Drita Gjilan	1:0 ✺
Kosovo Cup
09.04.25	Drita Gjilan - Prishtina	0:1 ✺
Kosovo Superliga
04.04.25	Feronikeli - Drita Gjilan	0:1 ✺
27.03.25	Drita Gjilan - Gjilani	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Kosovo Superliga
22.02.25	Drita Gjilan - Suhareka	2:0
20.11.24	Drita Gjilan - Suhareka	4:2
03.11.24	Suhareka - Drita Gjilan	1:2

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