The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sundby 39.1%
Draw 25.9%
Hørsholm-Usserød 35.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.5%
25%
37.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.6%
24.4%
38.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sundby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
Hørsholm-Usserød has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sundby than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hørsholm-Usserød than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Sundby - Hørsholm Usserød Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, ⚽,
7', 2 - 0, ⚽,
31', 🟥,
37', 2 - 1, ⚽,
44', 2 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
54', 2 - 3, ⚽,
59', 3 - 3, ⚽,
66', 3 - 4, ⚽,
80', 4 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 12 in the zone 3rd Division (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone 3rd Division (Relegation Group: )).
Recent form of Sundby has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Hørsholm-Usserød has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Hørsholm-Usserød may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Sundby has had a series of away games.
Recently, Hørsholm-Usserød has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sundby won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 2.5:2.5).
Including home match between the teams, Sundby won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Horsholm-Usserod
10
3
3
4
20:19
1
12
9
Sundby
10
3
1
6
14:16
-2
10
Last Results with these Odds
Sundby - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.51%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
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