Match Info

3rd Division - Round 14

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Sundby		Næsby

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.55	2.13
	2.61	3.69	2.28	Watch
	2.91	3.5	2.12
	2.9	3.5	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.53)	3.56 ↓ (3.58)	2.15 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sundby
32.4%

Draw
25.5%

Næsby
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

25.2%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.6%

23.9%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sundby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Næsby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sundby than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sundby, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Næsby than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Sundby - Næsby Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 1 - 0, Langhorn M. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 in the zone 3rd Division (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 3rd Division (Promotion Group: )).

Sundby is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Næsby has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sundby won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Sundby won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Næsby - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.15%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sundby BK
Danish 3 Division
25.10.25	Lyseng - Sundby	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Sundby - Nykøbing	1:3 ✺
11.10.25	Hørsholm-Usserød - Sundby	4:3 ✺
04.10.25	Sundby - FA 2000	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Nykøbing - Sundby	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Næsby BK
Danish 3 Division
25.10.25	Nykøbing - Næsby	5:3 ✺
18.10.25	Næsby - Brønshøj BK	1:5 ✺
11.10.25	Lyseng - Næsby	2:1 ✺
04.10.25	Næsby - Holbæk	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	FA 2000 - Næsby	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 3 Division
06.09.25	Næsby - Sundby	3:1
16.11.24	Sundby - Næsby	0:3
12.10.24	Næsby - Sundby	0:2

Sundby - Næsby: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide