Match Info

Superettan - Round 7

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: NP3 Arena (Sundsvall)

Referee: Mattsson E. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, max Extra 4, Max, TV4 Play


	Sundsvall		Västerås SK

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.5	1.91
	3.4	3.3	1.98
	3.72	3.58	1.94	Watch
	3.99	3.58	1.97
	3.95	3.5	1.9	Watch
	3.4	3.2	2.05
	4.07	3.52	1.89	Watch
	3.72	3.58	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↓ (3.89)	3.47 ↓ (3.7)	1.95 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sundsvall
24.9%

Draw
27%

Västerås SK
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.5%

24.7%

51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

24.2%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sundsvall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Västerås SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sundsvall than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Västerås SK than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Sundsvall - Västerås SK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olsson J. (G) 9. Kagayama T. 18. Forsberg L. 27. Bahtijar A. 4. Svanberg L. 23. Aviander H. 8. Palomino M. 7. Sandberg T. 5. Olsson D. 19. Finey Y. 21. Engblom P. (C)	1. Fagerstrom A. (G) 42. Hartzell T. 18. Nsabiyumva F. (C) 33. Vilar B. 29. Thongla-Iad Warneryd A. 5. Gunnarsson K. 8. Diagne M. 44. Larsson M. 10. Ring J. 27. Bibout A. 17. Axel T.
Substitutes
22. Eriksson M. 30. Hallin M. 13. Henareh D. (G) 6. Manchon M. 15. Sandberg M. 14. Shino A. 11. Tammivuori S.	3. Abadid L. 25. Bernardini A. (G) 13. Engstrom H. 24. Johansson J. 19. Magnusson J. 7. Ribeiro P. 21. Wernersson V.
Coaches
Ates E.	Karlsson K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, Finey Y. ⚽, Kagayama T. (A),
45+3', Larsson M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
55', 1 - 1, Diagne M. ⚽, Gunnarsson K. (A),
70', Palomino M. ↓, Sandberg M. ↑,
70', Olsson D. ↓, Manchon M. ↑,
76', Ring J. ↓, Magnusson J. ↑,
76', Hartzell T. ↓, Abadid L. ↑,
76', Axel T. ↓, Johansson J. ↑,
81', Vilar B. ↓, Ribeiro P. ↑,
83', 1 - 2, Bibout A. ⚽,
85', Manchon M. 🟨,
90', Sandberg T. ↓, Hallin M. ↑,
90+1', Bahtijar A. ↓, Shino A. ↑,
90+1', Bibout A. ↓, Engstrom H. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sundsvall won 2.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Västerås SK is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Sundsvall won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Sundsvall won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GIF Sundsvall
Swedish Superettan
03.05.25	Sundsvall - Utsikten	2:2 ✺
26.04.25	Oddevold - Sundsvall	1:2 ✺
20.04.25	Sundsvall - Landskrona	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Örgryte - Sundsvall	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	Kalmar - Sundsvall	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 TWLTL
- Västerås SK FK
Swedish Superettan
06.05.25	Västerås SK - Kalmar	2:2 ✺
28.04.25	Utsikten - Västerås SK	2:2 ✺
22.04.25	Helsingborg - Västerås SK	2:0 ✺
14.04.25	Västerås SK - Falkenberg	1:0 ✺
08.04.25	Västerås SK - Örgryte	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Svenska Cupen
04.03.24	Västerås SK - Sundsvall	1:1
Swedish Superettan
23.09.23	Västerås SK - Sundsvall	2:0
08.07.23	Sundsvall - Västerås SK	1:3
25.09.21	Västerås SK - Sundsvall	1:2
21.06.21	Sundsvall - Västerås SK	1:0
11.10.20	Västerås SK - Sundsvall	3:2
08.07.20	Sundsvall - Västerås SK	3:1

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