Match Info

Canadian Premier League

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: CEPSUM Stadium (Montreal, QC)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	OneSoccer


	Supra du Québec		Pacific FC

	1	X	2
	1.50	4.20	4.60
	1.55	4.25	4.80
	1.54	4.46	5.10
	1.69	4.26	4.23	Watch
	1.50	4.40	5.00
	1.59	4.21	4.88	Watch
	1.56	4.20	4.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.68)	4.28 ↑ (4.09)	4.73 ↑ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Supra du Québec
59%

Draw
21.5%

Pacific FC
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

22.8%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

24.5%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Supra du Québec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Pacific FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Supra du Québec than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pacific FC than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Supra du Québec - Pacific FC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Milli J. (G) 15. Brault-Guillard Z. 2. Auguste C. 4. Chretien M. 11. Abzi D. 33. Sissoko A. (C) 6. Biello A. 12. Bayiha C. 10. Rea S. 9. Kwemi L. A. 99. Conde I.	55. Melvin S. (G) 34. Keshavarz S. 5. Quintana J. 4. Konincks D. 15. Greco-Taylor C. 6. Browning Lagerfeldt L. (C) 16. Gomulka T. 10. Bustos M. 8. Daniels A. 64. Toualy Y. R. 27. Kratt R.
Substitutes
80. Diop M. (G) 8. El Kalkouli O. 23. Fernandez Z. 3. Lebeuf T. 19. McInerney J. 24. Mlah S. 92. Santos N.	12. Belluz J. 38. DeMelo D. 9. Diaz A. 1. Himaras E. (G) 66. Juhmi R. 21. Schiavoni M. 37. Vales M.
Coaches
Razzaghi N.	Dunfield T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Conde I. ⚽, Abzi D. (A),
42', Conde I. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
46', Bayiha C. ↓, El Kalkouli O. ↑,
50', 2 - 0, Kwemi L. A. ⚽,
57', 3 - 0, Abzi D. ⚽,
63', Daniels A. ↓, Schiavoni M. ↑,
63', Kratt R. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
67', Chretien M. 🟨,
69', Auguste C. 🟨,
73', Brault-Guillard Z. ↓, Fernandez Z. ↑,
73', Toualy Y. R. ↓, Vales M. ↑,
73', Sissoko A. ↓, Mlah S. ↑,
73', Browning Lagerfeldt L. ↓, Juhmi R. ↑,
78', 4 - 0, Chretien M. ⚽, Rea S. (A),
81', Conde I. ↓, Santos N. ↑,
81', Kwemi L. A. ↓, Lebeuf T. ↑,
83', Bustos M. ↓, DeMelo D. ↑,
90+3', 5 - 0, Santos N. ⚽,

Preview

Recent results have been tough for Supra du Québec (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Performances by Pacific have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Supra du Québec could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Supra du Québec has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this matchup, Supra du Québec is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Supra du Québec has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:4 (averaging 2:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Supra du Québec against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Supra du Quebec	25	9	4	12	38:45	-7	31
8	Pacific FC	24	2	8	14	30:52	-22	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Supra du Québec
Canadian Premier League
25.09.26	Cavalry - Supra du Québec	6:0 ✺
20.09.26	Atlético Ottawa - Supra du Québec	0:2 ✺
Canadian Championship
15.09.26	Forge - Supra du Québec	1:0 ✺
Canadian Premier League
12.09.26	Supra du Québec - HFX Wanderers	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Vancouver FC - Supra du Québec	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLLL
- Pacific FC
Canadian Premier League
27.09.26	Inter Toronto - Pacific FC	3:4 ✺
19.09.26	Pacific FC - Vancouver FC	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Pacific FC - Cavalry	0:1 ✺
09.09.26	Inter Toronto - Pacific FC	3:3 ✺
05.09.26	Atlético Ottawa - Pacific FC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Canadian Premier League
31.07.26	Pacific FC - Supra du Québec	1:2
06.06.26	Supra du Québec - Pacific FC	1:1
11.04.26	Pacific FC - Supra du Québec	2:3

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