Match Info

Date: 21 October 2022, Friday


	Sur Club		Al-Suwaiq

	1	X	2
	3.7	2.75	2.05
	3.6	2.75	2.04
	3.71	2.77	2.08
	4.2	3	1.91
	3.74	2.84	2.11
	3.75	2.85	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.78 ↓ (4.58)	2.83 ↓ (3.02)	2.05 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sur Club
23.9%

Draw
32%

Al-Suwaiq
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.4%

29.5%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.6%

28.3%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sur Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Al-Suwaiq has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Suwaiq might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sur Club than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sur Club that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Suwaiq than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Al-Suwaiq could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sur Club - Al Suwaiq Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sur Club won 0.

Sur Club is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Al-Suwaiq is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Sur Club have a series of guest games.

Al-Suwaiq will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Sur Club won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Sur Club won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sur Club
Omani League
07.10.22	Sohar - Sur Club	1:0 ✺
02.10.22	Oman FC - Sur Club	0:2 ✺
08.09.22	Sur Club - Bahla	0:1 ✺
30.08.22	Al-Seeb - Sur Club	2:1 ✺
25.08.22	Dhofar - Sur Club	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWLLL
- Al-Suwaiq
Omani League
08.10.22	Al-Suwaiq - Al Bashaer	1:0 ✺
02.10.22	Al-Nahda - Al-Suwaiq	2:0 ✺
09.09.22	Al-Rustaq - Al-Suwaiq	1:0 ✺
02.09.22	Al-Suwaiq - Al-Nasr Salalah	0:0 ✺
26.08.22	Al-Suwaiq - Al-Ittihad Salalah	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Omani League
24.05.19	Al-Suwaiq - Sur Club	4:0
10.11.18	Sur Club - Al-Suwaiq	1:1
20.02.16	Al-Suwaiq - Sur Club	2:0
23.11.15	Sur Club - Al-Suwaiq	0:1
09.05.15	Al-Suwaiq - Sur Club	2:2
12.12.14	Sur Club - Al-Suwaiq	0:1
16.04.14	Al-Suwaiq - Sur Club	0:1

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