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Current Win Probability
Sur Club 21%
Draw 27.5%
Oman FC 51.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
25.2%
28.5%
46.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
23.2%
26.2%
50.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sur Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Oman FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oman FC's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sur Club than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oman FC than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Sur Club - Oman FC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
79', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 14th in the Relegation and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sur won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.
Sur may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Oman FC has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this matchup, Oman FC is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Sur has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:14 (averaging 1.3:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sur against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 3:5 goals (averaging 0.6:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Oman Club
5
2
0
3
4:5
-1
6
14
Sur Club
6
1
0
5
6:15
-9
3
Last Results with these Odds
Sur Club - the odds 3.45 are the expected chance of winning is 25.21%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.