Match Info

Club Friendly

Date: 1 July 2026, Wednesday


	Sutjeska		Sarajevo

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.30	1.95
	3.05	3.30	2.08
	3.54	3.30	1.95
	10.58	4.71	1.29	Watch
	3.45	3.20	1.81
	2.47	3.38	2.43	Watch
	2.46	3.30	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.11 ↑ (2.5)	3.5 ↑ (3.3)	1.99 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sutjeska
23.6%

Draw
27.7%

Sarajevo
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

27.7%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

28%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sutjeska has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sutjeska's form might have worsened.

Sarajevo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sarajevo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sutjeska than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sutjeska, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarajevo than the current prediction. (-13.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sarajevo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Sutjeska - Sarajevo Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sarajevo will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarajevo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Mikic L. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', 0 - 2, (Penalty Awarded),
68', 1 - 2, (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Sutjeska has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sarajevo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Sarajevo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Sutjeska - the odds 2.5 are the expected chance of winning is 36.52%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sutjeska FK
Club Friendly
24.06.26	AF Elbasani - Sutjeska	Canceled ✺
23.06.26	Borac Banja Luka - Sutjeska	1:0 ✺
Montenegrin First League
24.05.26	Sutjeska - Jedinstvo Bijelo Polje	1:3 ✺
20.05.26	Mladost Donja Gorica - Sutjeska	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Sutjeska - Dečić Tuzi	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 ?LLWW
- FK Sarajevo
Bosnian Premier League
25.05.26	Sarajevo - Željezničar Sarajevo	1:0 ✺
21.05.26	Velež Mostar - Sarajevo	2:3 ✺
16.05.26	Sarajevo - Široki Brijeg	2:2 ✺
09.05.26	Rudar Prijedor - Sarajevo	2:4 ✺
03.05.26	Sarajevo - Borac Banja Luka	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWTWL

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