Match Info

League One - Round 6

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Suzhou Sports Centre (Suzhou)


	Suzhou Dongwu		Dingnan United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.78	2.88	2.48
	3.02	2.94	2.55
	3.01	2.89	2.56	Watch
	2.7	2.75	2.5
	2.94	2.81	2.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.74)	2.85 ↓ (2.95)	2.51 ↓ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suzhou Dongwu
31.6%

Draw
32%

Dingnan United
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

31.5%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

30.9%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suzhou Dongwu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Dingnan United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Suzhou Dongwu than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dingnan United than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Suzhou Dongwu - Dingnan United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Liu Yu (G) 18. Tai Jianfeng 45. Mijit M. 33. Liu Jiqiang 8. Gao D. 16. Zhao S. 6. Estrela (C) 36. Yuan J. 17. Wang Jiancong 9. Ali M. 20. Chen Rong	1. Du Jia (G) 28. Cheng Yetong 27. Wang Sihan 4. Daciel 10. Tang Shi 18. Fan Bojian (C) 6. Zhu Jiaxuan 34. Hao Yucheng 9. Ma Chenghao 11. Erikys 19. Han Yuchen
Substitutes
37. Askhan (G) 29. Chen Ao 30. He Haohan 15. Jin Qiang 27. Lei Zhibo (G) 2. Song Bowei 21. Song Pan 39. Tian Jiahao 26. Wang B. 19. Wu Junjie 24. Zhang Jiansheng 10. Zhang Lingfeng	35. Ependi Nizamdin 25. Gao J. 20. Jiang Yixiang 7. Palacios M. 37. Petrov M. 30. Ren Zening 15. Wu Mingyu 31. Xiao Yuanming (G) 24. Yang Chen (G) 33. Yan Jiahao 8. Zhang Zimin
Coaches
Yu Yuanwei	Mao Biao

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Daciel 🟨,
27', Zhu Jiaxuan 🟨,
29', Ali M. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Erikys ⚽, Fan Bojian (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Wang Jiancong ↓, Song Pan ↑,
61', Erikys 🟨,
66', Yuan J. ↓, He Haohan ↑,
71', Han Yuchen 🟨,
72', Hao Yucheng ↓, Ependi Nizamdin ↑,
72', Han Yuchen ↓, Palacios M. ↑,
73', Chen Rong ↓, Zhang Lingfeng ↑,
78', Zhao S. ↓, Jin Qiang ↑,
78', Liu Jiqiang ↓, Chen Ao ↑,
83', Cheng Yetong ↓, Jiang Yixiang ↑,
83', Fan Bojian ↓, Yan Jiahao ↑,
83', Tang Shi ↓, Zhang Zimin ↑,
90', Ependi Nizamdin 🟨,
90+5', Jiang Yixiang 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 5).

Recent performances by Suzhou Dongwu have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Dingnan United is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Suzhou Dongwu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Suzhou Dongwu won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Suzhou Dongwu	25	7	9	9	30:35	-5	27
13	Dingnan Ganlian	25	4	12	9	35:46	-11	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suzhou Dongwu
Chinese Jia League
18.04.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Guangxi Hengchen	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Nantong Zhiyun - Suzhou Dongwu	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Changchun Yatai - Suzhou Dongwu	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Meizhou Hakka - Suzhou Dongwu	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Dalian Kun City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WLLWL
- Jiangxi Dingnan United
Chinese Jia League
19.04.26	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Dingnan United	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Dingnan United - Nanjing City	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Dalian Kun City - Dingnan United	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Dingnan United - Nantong Zhiyun	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Dingnan United - Guangxi Hengchen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
08.11.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Dingnan United	1:0
05.07.25	Dingnan United - Suzhou Dongwu	3:1

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