Match Info

Euro U21 - Qualification

Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday

Location: Stadsparksvallen (Jönköping)

Referee: Cakir O. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Sweden	Viaplay


	Sweden U21		Poland U21

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	3.45	2.85
	2.42	3.7	2.84
	4.26	4.11	1.69	Watch
	2.32	3.54	2.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.05)	3.7 (3.7)	2.54 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sweden U21
34.7%

Draw
26.6%

Poland U21
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

25.3%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sweden U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sweden U21's form might have worsened.

Poland U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Poland U21's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

Sweden U21 - Poland U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Sweden U21 will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Poland U21 will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Sweden U21 (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Poland U21 (1.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Sweden U21 (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Poland U21 (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Picornell A. (G) 2. Antwi G. Chelsea 3. Kurtulus B. Halmstad 4. Zatterstrom N. (C) Sheffield Utd 5. Perez Vinlof M. Din. Zagreb 8. Karlsson M. Hammarby 6. Samuelsson O. Hacken 10. Swedberg W. Celta Vigo 7. Sonko M. Gent 9. Kusi Asare J. Fulham 11. Boudri A. GAIS	22. Lubik M. (G) Gornik Zabrze 19. Krajewski M. Widzew Lodz 4. Matysik M. Aris Limassol 2. Drapinski I. Piast Gliwice 3. Gurgul M. Lech Poznan 8. Kowalczyk M. GKS Katowice 6. Kozubal A. Lech Poznan 7. Pietuszewski O. Jagiellonia 16. Urbanski K. Legia 10. Pienko T. (C) Rakow Czestochowa 21. Regula M. Zaglebie
Substitutes
13. Bergvall T. Djurgarden 16. Bjorklund L. Brommapojkarna 12. Eriksson S. (G) Elfsborg 20. Kanga J. Ilves 15. Makolli E. Aalborg 19. Njie A. Torino 18. Omorowa R. Degerfors 17. Thorell L. Mjallby 14. Tolf N. IFK Goteborg	12. Bobek A. (G) LKS Lodz 9. Bogacz W. New York Red Bulls 18. Duda K. Wisla 11. Faberski J. Zwolle 15. Kocaba F. Zaglebie 20. Kutwa M. Wisla 14. Kuziemka M. Wisla 13. Luberecki F. Motor Lublin 5. Potulski K. Mainz
Coaches
Backstrom D.	Brzeczek J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
6', 0 - 1, Pienko T. ⚽,
22', Swedberg W. ↓, Njie A. ↑,
31', 0 - 2, Pienko T. (Pen),
34', Boudri A. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 3, Urbanski K. ⚽,
45+4', Krajewski M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Matysik M. ↓, Kutwa M. ↑,
47', Kurtulus B. 🟨,
54', Kowalczyk M. ↓, Kocaba F. ↑,
61', Karlsson M. ↓, Bjorklund L. ↑,
61', Sonko M. ↓, Kanga J. ↑,
66', Urbanski K. ↓, Duda K. ↑,
66', Pietuszewski O. ↓, Faberski J. ↑,
74', Regula M. ↓, Luberecki F. ↑,
76', Bjorklund L. 🟨,
81', Kusi Asare J. ↓, Omorowa R. ↑,
81', Antwi G. ↓, Bergvall T. ↑,
83', 0 - 4, Kozubal A. ⚽,
87', Kanga J. 🟨,
89', Perez Vinlof M. 🟨,
89', 0 - 5, Krajewski M. ⚽,
90+3', 0 - 6, Pienko T. ⚽,

Preview

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sweden U21 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sweden U21
UEFA Euro U21
10.10.25	Italy U21 - Sweden U21	4:0 ✺
09.09.25	Montenegro U21 - Sweden U21	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	Sweden U21 - Armenia U21	3:0 ✺
Friendly
10.06.25	Croatia U21 - Sweden U21	1:1 ✺
06.06.25	Sweden U21 - Qatar U23	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWTL
- Poland U21
UEFA Euro U21
10.10.25	Poland U21 - Montenegro U21	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Armenia U21 - Poland U21	0:4 ✺
05.09.25	Poland U21 - North Macedonia U21	3:0 ✺
17.06.25	France U21 - Poland U21	4:1 ✺
14.06.25	Portugal U21 - Poland U21	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Euro U21
19.06.17	Poland U21 - Sweden U21	2:2
Friendly
08.09.15	Poland U21 - Sweden U21	0:0
UEFA Euro U21
12.10.13	Poland U21 - Sweden U21	2:0
06.09.13	Sweden U21 - Poland U21	3:1

Sweden U21 - Poland U21: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide