Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 9

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Alphonse Theis (Hesperange) 🌤️ ...


	Swift Hesperange		Victoria Rosport

	1	X	2
	5.50	4.20	1.43
	5.7	4.25	1.41
	6.35	4.75	1.41
	5.9	4.46	1.44	Watch
	6.25	4.7	1.39
	5.42	4.91	1.47
	5.8	4.4	1.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.85 ↑ (3.53)	4.52 ↑ (3.92)	1.43 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swift Hesperange
15.6%

Draw
20.2%

Victoria Rosport
64.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.8%

23.3%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swift Hesperange has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Swift Hesperange's form might have worsened.

Victoria Rosport has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Victoria Rosport's recent form is better than expected.

Swift Hesperange - Victoria Rosport Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
18', 0 - 1, Goncalves A. ⚽, Walbrecq L. (A),
29', 0 - 2, Villeneuve J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
78', 0 - 3, Vogel B. ⚽, Brkljaca M. (A),

Preview

A direct clash near the foot of the table where neither side can afford to drop points (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 13th in the BGL Ligue (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swift Hesperange won 3.

Swift Hesperange is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

In this match, Victoria Rosport enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Swift Hesperange has recorded 7 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:8 (averaging 2.5:0.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Swift Hesperange against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 18:4 goals (averaging 3:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Victoria Rosport	11	3	2	6	21:26	-5	11
16	Hesperange	11	0	0	11	2:41	-39	-12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swift Hesperange
Luxembourg National Division
16.09.26	Differdange 03 - Swift Hesperange	3:0 ✺
13.09.26	Swift Hesperange - Résidence Walferdange	0:3 ✺
06.09.26	Swift Hesperange - Etzella Ettelbruck	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	Käerjéng 97 - Swift Hesperange	6:0 ✺
16.08.26	Racing Luxembourg - Swift Hesperange	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- FC Victoria Rosport
Luxembourg National Division
16.09.26	Victoria Rosport - Etzella Ettelbruck	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Käerjéng 97 - Victoria Rosport	5:0 ✺
05.09.26	Victoria Rosport - Hostert	0:2 ✺
30.08.26	Racing Luxembourg - Victoria Rosport	2:2 ✺
09.08.26	Victoria Rosport - Mondorf-les-Bains	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
17.05.26	Swift Hesperange - Victoria Rosport	3:0
07.12.25	Victoria Rosport - Swift Hesperange	2:2
08.03.25	Victoria Rosport - Swift Hesperange	1:1
15.09.24	Swift Hesperange - Victoria Rosport	5:0
18.02.24	Victoria Rosport - Swift Hesperange	1:3
20.08.23	Swift Hesperange - Victoria Rosport	3:2
30.04.23	Swift Hesperange - Victoria Rosport	5:1

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