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Current Win Probability
Swit Skolwin 37.6%
Draw 27.7%
Hutnik 34.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.9%
26.7%
34.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.6%
26.5%
34.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Swit Skolwin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
Hutnik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swit Skolwin than the current prediction. (+1%)
The ML Model estimate for Hutnik aligns with the current prediction.
Swit Skolwin - Hutnik Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Klon O. (G) 20. Ciechanowski D. 5. Goral J. 10. Kort D. 14. Lebedynski M. 23. Nowicki S. 32. Obst R. 3. Remisz R. 9. Ropski K. 15. Wojdak K. (C) 22. Wozniak A.
1. Wroblewski K. (G) 14. Bracik K. 5. Burka D. 3. Holuj F. 4. Kedziora L. 76. Kielis P. 77. Prusinski K. 24. Semik K. 10. Sowinski M. 6. Urbanczyk M. 43. Zawada O.
Substitutes
80. Aftyka G. 77. Dziuniak A. 13. Kapelusz S. 19. Kisly D. 6. Maszalo K. 31. Mendes-Dudzinski M. (G) 11. Nowak K. 4. Rogala S. 25. Tkachuk Y.
18. Basse A. 2. Galazka A. 13. Gandziarowski M. 12. Hoyo-Kowalski D. (G) 8. Jopek S. 37. Motrycz A. 21. Szablowski K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Obst R. ⚽,
30', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
47', 1 - 1, Kielis P. ⚽,
56', 1 - 2, Prusinski K. ⚽,
71', 1 - 3, Sowinski M. ⚽,
72', 1 - 4, ⚽,
86', 🟨,
Preview
Swit Skolwin has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Hutnik is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Hutnik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Swit Skolwin won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Swit Skolwin won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.
Outrights of Polish Division 2 for now
Hutnik Krakow: 1.02%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Hutnik Krakow
10
4
3
3
16:13
3
15
Last Results with these Odds
Swit Skolwin - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 38.91%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.